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@pdicarlotrader
@pdicarlotrader
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Peter DiCarlo
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Avg. peak vs avg. fade
Average return when a call peaks vs fades — and how long each takes.
How we score
Avg. peak
+54%
~96 days
avg. time to first peak
1637
peaked
posted
~96 days
+54%
Avg. fade
-34%
~87 days
avg. time to first fade
1595
faded
posted
~87 days
-34%
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post, and how it compares to what they average when a call peaks and when it fades.
All
102
Peaked
0
Faded
0
Live
102
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$
SMH
The $SMH semiconductor bull cycle is still hanging on. Structure remains bullish. Today: a full sector breakdown, how long I think the cycle lasts, and EXACTLY what levels need to hold for a breakout. Watch now 👇 https://t.co/FhYuH9QJJK
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
AMD
$AMD bounced massively today inside our Institutional Buy Zone. The bull cycle is still in play. In-depth look at the setup Plus, exactly where I plan to buy + targets for next month 👇 https://t.co/NLYpCRBUj8
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
BTC
November 1st could change everything for Bitcoin. If it closes like this, the new bull cycle officially begins. 🟢 That puts $130K on the table within 12 months. Once it’s confirmed, I’ll do a full video on it. https://t.co/nwU5LDPcjJ
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
NVDA
Last time $NVDA set up like this, it ran +15%. It’s setting up again. Our Daily Smart Money Zone is being tested right now, and I’m expecting a breakout. Full breakdown: upside target + where my stop goes 👇 https://t.co/8rGn8TuYF1
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
NBIS
Two bullish setups. One stock. Same time. $NBIS just triggered both our short-term AND long-term Smart Money Zones. I wanted $120 before the next breakout. Doesn’t look like I’m getting it. Both setups + exactly how I’d trade them 👇 https://t.co/Jcy44vfYmL
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
DELL
The strongest setup in my entire system just fired on $DELL. It’s called the Silver Bullet. Up 11% since hitting our Smart Money Buy Zone, and the breakout is just starting. Full trade breakdown + my year-end target 👇 https://t.co/6fGCnPX2ku
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
HOOD
$HOOD reports earnings today. Our system is flagging a breakout. Smart Money Buy Zone triggered on the Daily yesterday. 70% of the time, price hits $136 within 60 days. Here’s the exact trade: entry, stop, targets 👇 https://t.co/ZIAIXkno8e
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
HOOD
Earnings day $HOOD Keeping a close eye on this and still extremely bullish https://t.co/KaX7hjCsIZ
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
APP
Down but NOT out for $APP 70% of the time price is back at all time high within 12-18 months Patience is the game 🎯 https://t.co/OEmDp21Rrh
Live
bull
+0%
1d
Oct 27
$
AVGO
This could be the last chance to get $AVGO at the Weekly Smart Money Zone. I'd expect a new all-time high within the next 6–8 months. Stop loss: break of structure under $290 https://t.co/qlV2aHvq7H
Live
bull
+4%
2d
Oct 26
$
HUT
$HUT +7% bounce off the Smart Money Zone. Great sign that buyers are showing up. I'd expect a new high around $140 within the next 6 months. Stop loss would be below the swing low at $40. https://t.co/ejDU60G0ya https://t.co/Fqv4PLdGZE
Live
bull
+6.9%
2d
Oct 26
$
SPCX
$SPCX continues to hold the 1hr swing low. As long as it holds, I'm staying bullish. I'll update if it breaks or when the target is hit. https://t.co/GkuCvxLOSs
Live
bull
+1.1%
2d
Oct 26
$
HOOD
$HOOD Daily Smart Money Zone Price just pulled back into the daily Smart Money Zone. This is a solid setup that bounced the last two times we got it. Upside target: $127 Stop loss: close under the swing low at $82 Timeframe: usually around 45 days to play out https://t.co/ErxkdoIqEZ
Live
bull
+1.9%
2d
Oct 26
$
VRT
$VRT Weekly Smart Money Zone 🟣 This is historically a very good buy zone for the next 6 to 12 months. The upside target over the next 12 months is $380, about a 100% move. The stop loss would be a close under the swing low at $147, around 20–25% downside. That’s extremely healthy risk vs. reward. I’m not taking this trade yet since I’m focused on a lot of other things and have a lot of capital tied up right now. But it’s a solid setup to keep an eye on, and if you want to own it long term, it’s a great area to do it.
Live
bull
+7.3%
4d
Oct 24
$
GLXY
$GLXY Monthly Smart Money Zone 🟣 Since the highs last October, this stock is down over 68%, and we’re approaching a long-term technical buy zone. I’ll start by saying I’m not taking this position right now. I just have too many trades on my plate and I’m focused on shorter-timeframe setups. But if you want to own this stock long term, this is historically a really good time to do it. 70% of the time, price bounces off this level and gets back to the swing high within 24 months. In this case, that’s around $45, or about 200% upside. The downside here is very high: the stop under the swing low at $8.20 is 44% downside. The risk vs. reward is still extremely healthy, but because it’s such a volatile stock with such a wide range, the potential downside from a percentage standpoint is huge. That means more than ever, proper risk management through position sizing is the most important thing. On a trade like this, I wouldn’t put more than 5% of my portfolio in it.
Live
bull
+17%
4d
Oct 24
$
NRG
After selling off nearly 50% over the past year, $NRG is back at long-term Smart Money support. This weekly Smart Money Zone usually has a very high chance of being a bottom, and price normally reverts back to the all-time high of $188 within 12 months. Earnings are coming up the week of November 2nd, which will obviously be a big part of this. But if you're looking to take a long-term position, this is a really good spot. Upside is about 100%. The stop loss under the swing low at $78 is about 16.5% downside. Very healthy risk vs. reward.
Live
bull
+3.2%
5d
Oct 23
$
HUT
$HUT at the top of the weekly Smart Money Zone 🟣 70% of the time, this is a long-term buying signal and usually where we find a bounce. Historically, price reverts back to the swing high at $140 within 8 to 12 months. Optimal buy zone is right around $59, with the stop loss set under $42.
Live
bull
+10%
5d
Oct 23
$
SPY
$SPY right back at Smart Money Buy Zone on the Daily Need to see price hold $758 ✅ Still bullish as long as we don't sweep that low https://t.co/h1TM7iyaOd
Live
bull
+0.7%
6d
Oct 22
$
IREN
$IREN swing low broken, and holding under Small chance (roughly 7%) we get a full recovery here In most cases, price continues to sell off to Monthly Smart Money Zone Between $19 - $20 before finding a longer term bottom https://t.co/vnXYKVzl7U
Live
bear
-7.6%
6d
Oct 22
$
CRWV
I'm betting BIG on $CRWV over the next 1 - 2 years $200 target by August 2027 https://t.co/xCwBKwZCvK
Live
bull
-3.6%
7d
Oct 21
$
META
Earnings After the Bell $META 🔔 I'm obviously not in this position anymore since we took profit when it pushed through previous resistance. The short-term risk vs. reward just isn't worth it, so I'm not taking a trade here, but I'm extremely bullish. Now that we've taken out that previous resistance and internal structure, the monthly BX is showing green, and it looks like we're heading into a multi-month to multi-year bull cycle and expansion. I'm expecting a big move up after earnings today. That said, on the off chance price pulls back, I'd be looking to buy the dip somewhere between $580 and $600. Let's see what happens.
Live
bull
-11.1%
7d
Oct 21
$
MSTR
$MSTR +15% since bouncing on Daily Smart Money Zone Should see swing high hit within the next 30 - 60 days https://t.co/ItRwobviDE https://t.co/GYsPOBt53i
Live
bull
-7.9%
7d
Oct 21
$
COIN
$COIN looking ready for the next leg up 🚀 https://t.co/e1TUR9LsLC
Live
bull
-9%
7d
Oct 21
$
BE
Bloom Energy ($BE) is up over 2,318% in the 700 days since its bull cycle started back in November 2024. Now it’s trading in an extremely important zone. Here’s what I’m seeing. 📈 The Cycle The cycle could be coming to an end. The monthly BX Trender is flipping from green to red. But there are two things to note. First, the monthly BX Trender hasn’t closed for October yet. We still have a couple of weeks left. Second, and more importantly, earnings are coming up, and that will obviously move the stock. A good report could flip the monthly BX back to green and keep the cycle going. So technically this is still bullish, just leaning more toward a potential end of the cycle. Nothing’s confirmed yet. Structure Structure matters more than the cycle itself. On the weekly, price bounced right off the weekly smart money zone on July 29th, when it was trading around $160. We called out that setup on our X account as a good spot to buy long term, and the stock bounced right off the level, which is exactly what we want to see. Weekly structure is still bullish. The daily is now in bullish structure too. We have a clear swing low at $197.50 and a clear swing high at $302.35, which puts price right in the short-term smart money zone. So short term, we have a very good upside setup. Long term, we’re not at the deepest discount, but the price is still relatively good. My Take Within my strategy, this technically counts as a buying opportunity. The main reason I’m personally staying away is that I didn’t trade most of this run. I didn’t trade the December 2025 breakout off smart money or the March 2026 breakout off the institutional buy zone, so chasing here feels a little late. If I’d already traded it and had profits baked in, I’d have no issue taking the trade right now. Targets Heading into earnings, my short-term upside target for the next 30 days is $300. For the next 60 days, it’s $360 or all-time highs. The Downside To stay objective, we have to look at the downside too. If the daily swing low at $197.50 breaks, that’s an internal support change. From there, price would likely sell off another 20% back down to the weekly smart money zone at $160.
Live
bull
-1.9%
8d
Oct 20
$
SPCX
$SPCX structure still bullish as we head into earnings 🚀 What are you guys thinking? 👇 https://t.co/ueF19QFirQ
Live
bull
+0.5%
8d
Oct 20
$
ENPH
This my friends, is why we wait for confirmed candles closing under swing points $ENPH Still down on the trade, but making a strong recovery from that low Structure still bullish RVR still off the charts 🚀 https://t.co/tNiYAovese https://t.co/fwrlBG0BWA
Live
bull
-7.7%
8d
Oct 20
$
CELH
$CELH starting to gain traction Full video analysis in the post below 👇 https://t.co/XekMfXkMpG https://t.co/bLTgPG6jv6
Live
bull
-6.5%
8d
Oct 20
$
CAVA
$CAVA setting up nicely for a big move off the SMZ over the next 6 months https://t.co/9Shz4LQxDC
Live
bull
-9.7%
8d
Oct 20
$
QCOM
Still extremely bullish on $QCOM for the next 6 months Already up +25% since hitting our Weekly Smart Money Zone back in August Daily is now showing support and looking to make the next run up https://t.co/PXuQXyt6cg https://t.co/x4fceMaF2k
Live
bull
+4.8%
8d
Oct 20
$
HIMS
$HIMS compression continues 👀 https://t.co/NNovVefd7K
Live
bull
-4.4%
8d
Oct 20
$
NVDA
$NVDA Daily Smart Money Buy Zone Alert 🔔 The last time this exact setup played out (just last month), it rallied 15%+. Structure and cycle are still bullish. I break down the full setup in this video 👇 https://t.co/ZETbGtvsGH
Live
bull
+0.7%
8d
Oct 20
$
HOOD
The last 2 times $HOOD hit this zone, it ran 50%+. It’s pulling back into it right now. Full setup in the video: my entry, profit targets, and stop loss 👇 https://t.co/vv2zDmK7vD
Live
bull
-3.7%
8d
Oct 20
$
QQQ
$SPY and $QQQ just hit one of our strongest short-term discount zones. Most of the time, price bounces here and makes new all-time highs within 30 days. I break down both indexes and why I’m still EXTREMELY bullish 👇 https://t.co/1vlgh42v5j
Live
bull
+0.5%
8d
Oct 20
$
SPY
$SPY and $QQQ just hit one of our strongest short-term discount zones. Most of the time, price bounces here and makes new all-time highs within 30 days. I break down both indexes and why I’m still EXTREMELY bullish 👇 https://t.co/1vlgh42v5j
Live
bull
+0.1%
8d
Oct 20
$
STZ
$STZ Monthly Smart Money Zone 🚀 This is historically one of the strongest long term buy zones Price will usually push back to all time high within 24 - 36 months https://t.co/Yj9ZvHXB7o
Live
bull
-0.3%
9d
Oct 19
$
HD
$HD bouncing at Monthly Smart Money Zone to perfection This is usually a phenomenal zone to start a position long term 75% of the time, price recovers back to all time highs within 18 - 24 months https://t.co/qIOnTPIkRH
Live
bull
+2.8%
9d
Oct 19
$
SMCI
$SMCI rejected off wedge resistance and is now testing Monthly Smart Money Zone I would anticipate a bounce soon. Worst case, $28 to print a higher low From there, the next 18 - 24 months look strong as long as trend support holds https://t.co/rHOqPfMCTd https://t.co/EwfLWNwVnr
Live
bull
+9.3%
9d
Oct 19
$
COHR
$COHR Bullish market structure as long as we hold over $220 Expectation would be a bounce ✅ https://t.co/UoQm6Ny54z https://t.co/75pUEORCnM
Live
bull
+1.6%
9d
Oct 19
$
MRVL
$MRVL pulling back into Daily discount zone. I would expect a bounce around $220 - $240 and breakout from there If swing low ( $200 ) breaks, I would remove my outlook and expect a continued retracement back down to macro smart money zone at $140 https://t.co/YXoOjW4gUH https://t.co/4QbgFRai3e
Live
bull
+2.7%
9d
Oct 19
$
CRWV
$CRWV Long Term Smart Money Zone 70% of the time price pulls back into this long term support, price is trading back at all time highs within 12 - 16 months If I was looking to start a long term position on this name, this would be it 🎯 https://t.co/7fqWAFSzqO
Live
bull
-2.5%
9d
Oct 19
$
AVGO
$AVGO Weekly Smart Money Zone Last time we touched this zone was back in March 2026 Price rallied 48% within two months 73% of the time price bounces from this zone and hits highs within 3 - 6 months https://t.co/chc4EfmFxj
Live
bull
+2.3%
9d
Oct 19
$
QQQ
$QQQ pulling back into Daily Smart Money Zone Expecting a bounce this week Bullish as long as we don't break below $699 https://t.co/kg7EHKAUDo
Live
bull
+1.6%
10d
Oct 18
$
SPY
$SPY Daily Smart Money Zone Expecting a bounce this week As long as swing low doesn't break, this should be a short term pull back within a longer term breakout https://t.co/dQ8geTMFBp
Live
bull
+0.8%
10d
Oct 18
$
TSLA
I’m a trader…. But you are crazy if you bet against $TSLA long term
Live
bull
+14.9%
12d
Oct 16
$
ENPH
My $ENPH position is down 20% and nearing my stop loss. In this video, I break down the exact level that would make me take the loss, what would invalidate my thesis, and why I’m still bullish for now. An objective update on the position. Watch now 👇 https://t.co/If7CdVyvj3
Live
bull
-3.4%
13d
Oct 15
$
HIMS
Make or break time for $HIMS https://t.co/yJKHevXS5D
Live
bull
+0.7%
14d
Oct 14
$
ASTS
$ASTS structural break ❌ Sweeping swing low is NOT ideal Needs to get back above $50 in the next week or we are officially in bearish structure Comment $ASTS if you want a video breaking down what would come next https://t.co/rTpKKZTj0O
Live
bear
+0.4%
14d
Oct 14
$
IREN
$IREN broke key support on the Daily chart Now the only thing left is the swing low at $30 If we can't hold.... things are going to get real ugly over the next 6 months https://t.co/0yTLDrmLMR https://t.co/DuQSS2Jzc7
Live
bear
+10.2%
14d
Oct 14
$
TSLA
$TSLA rejecting inside our 1hr bearish Smart Money Zone We talked about this in our last video My expectation now is that price continues to fade back to $350 We will revisit this name if we break $350 https://t.co/z1S7EjlxoA
Live
bear
-11%
14d
Oct 14
$
SPCX
$SPCX back at 1hr Smart Money Zone once again We have bounced here the last couple of times If the bulls are going to stay in control, we need to hold $146 https://t.co/6hSj8yEUiA
Live
bull
-2.4%
14d
Oct 14
$
SNDK
And so it begins $SNDK https://t.co/vbD9yB6euA https://t.co/gWKTRrtXzO
Live
bear
+12.3%
16d
Oct 12
$
NBIS
$NBIS still making lower highs I’d be waiting for price to redistribute back to $140’s before attempting anything long https://t.co/iMwjcRiFFy
Live
bear
+18.8%
16d
Oct 12
$
IREN
Double Smart Money Zone + Anthropic Deal Send it $IREN https://t.co/3PaVQSzhGJ
Live
bull
-21.1%
16d
Oct 12
$
HIMS
$HIMS is coiling tightly. The next 90 days could bring a massive breakout, but the setup has a clear invalidation point. Watch the video for the full breakdown, my 90-day target, and exactly where I’d place my protective stop. https://t.co/TG1i6P1fYm
Live
bull
-9.7%
19d
Oct 9
$
CIFR
$CIFR just broke its 1H structure. Is the bullish thesis dead? Not yet. I’m still pricing in a major breakout over the next 6–12 months. In the video: the updated setup, why I remain bullish, and the exact level where I’d cut the trade if wrong. https://t.co/DOJMQd8vbh
Live
bull
-37.3%
19d
Oct 9
$
IREN
$IREN both internal & external structure are still bullish... but we need to hold $35 swing low Things will get dicey if that level breaks Fingers crossed for the bulls 🤞 https://t.co/4IoBzLhCOQ
Live
bull
-22%
19d
Oct 9
$
HOOD
$HOOD 1HR Smart Money Zone being tested https://t.co/YIiqalNH8s
Live
bull
-13.3%
19d
Oct 9
$
AVGO
$AVGO macro structure is still bullish I am holding some shares right now but plan to avg down if we hit bullish Smart Money Zone Best case, I think we push back up into Institutional Sell Zone before another rejection Would love an early breakout... but I am expecting the worst 👌🏻
Live
bear
+5.3%
19d
Oct 9
$
HIMS
$HIMS continues to compress -5% sell off today could be a stop hunt, but we need to make sure we hold $27 as we finish up the week As long as we hold that swing low, the bulls are fine 🚀 https://t.co/0QYwVmMWB9
Live
bull
-9.7%
19d
Oct 9
$
ON
$ON ripped 30% after we called the bottom at our Smart Money Zone last month Price is now approaching the $85 rejection area we discussed. In this video, I break down the potential pullback before the next breakout. https://t.co/g2T2nnM6m0
Live
bear
+0.9%
20d
Oct 8
showing 60 — keep scrolling
