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@KevInvestingYT
@KevInvestingYT
IN VALIDATION
Kevin Maro
·
19K
followers
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High-conviction
AI infrastructure
Space & Defense
Fundamental research
Stocks
When right vs when wrong
Average return when a call wins vs loses — and how long each takes.
When right
+156%
peaks in
~92d
·
13
wins
When wrong
-40%
fades in
~83d
·
10
losses
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post and how it stacked up against his usual.
All
33
Wins
13
Losses
10
Live
10
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$BRUN
I believe $BRUN is a screaming buy on a ridiculous sell-off AH. I believe it is the second best Neocloud investment behind $NBIS. I have added to my position. Why the sell off? A post was made on X by @saso_capital reporting ~54 million insider shares will become eligible to sell next Monday. Including 29.5 million Class B shares held by CEO Andrew Karos. A few different financial influencers found out about this information and sold after hours, notifying their followers. This created enormous selling pressure during an illiquid afterhours on a stock with an already extremely low float. I don’t judge anyone’s decision to buy or hold a company. There is a potential risk of selling pressure lowering the stock price short term. At the same time however, this is a unicorn neocloud stock with jaw-dropping growth metrics: $BRUN ARR tripled from $30M to $96M in 4 months. Contracted backlog went from $120M to $1.45 billion as of June 1st. 1,233% year over year ARR growth. Free cash flow positive. $NVDA Preferred Cloud Partner. One of only 8 companies globally with Exemplar Cloud status. FY2026 ARR guidance of $400M+. Karos owns 48% of this company. He built it. The pipeline keeps converting. The numbers keep accelerating. That is not someone who listed to dump. The growth is real. The overhang is real. Both things are true. Likewise with my $IREN thesis, compute demand is insatiable, and a company as well-ran as Boost Run will likely explode in growth, and stock price. Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Live
▲ bull
-12.1%
30d
Jun 3
$LAC
Just aggressively added to $LAC https://t.co/9fBzt5HBmg
Live
▲ bull
-33.4%
31d
Jun 2
$IREN
I've initiated a position in $IREN in the overnight markets. A few hours ago, Google just told the world something important: Demand for AI compute infrastructure has reached a scale where even $174 billion in annual operating cash flow isn't enough. They're raising $80 billion more in equity on top of $100 billion in existing debt just to keep pace. Sundar Pichai said "compute capacity" is what keeps him up at night. "Be it power, land, supply chain constraints, how do you ramp up to meet this extraordinary demand for this moment?" His answer? Raise $80 billion in equity. Dilute shareholders. Do whatever it takes. They already raised over $85 billion in debt across six currencies in the last year. Total debt balance now over $100 billion. And now back for $80 billion more in equity on top of that. 2027 capex expected to significantly increase compared to 2026's $180 to $190 billion. This is not a company managing a growth cycle. This is a company in a full sprint that cannot build fast enough. And that money does not stay inside Google's walls. It flows downstream into the neoclouds, the power holders, and the companies sitting in the critical path of every dollar they spend. I initiated a position in $IREN today as the catch-up trade in this space. Here's why: - IREN just signed a five-year $3.4 billion AI cloud contract with Nvidia to provide managed GPU cloud services for Nvidia's internal AI and research workloads. On top of that, Nvidia was given a five-year right to purchase up to 30 million IREN shares at $70 per share -> a right to invest up to $2.1 billion. The broader strategic partnership targets deployment of up to 5 gigawatts of Nvidia DSX-aligned AI infrastructure across IREN's global pipeline. - Nvidia chose $IREN as a strategic partner. That is not a small thing. - The stock still trades at roughly $4 to $5 per watt while CoreWeave trades at $26 per watt and NBIS at $20 per watt. The big names already ran. $IREN is the catch-up. Now the risk I want to be honest about: IREN's buildout is heavily dependent on external capital. Between Nvidia's share purchase right and a $2 billion convertible note offering, dilution and debt servicing are real risks. The ATM program is still active. If the stock re-rates upward, dilution could act as a ceiling slowing the move. Eyes open on that. But Google raising $80 billion to meet demand that is outpacing their supply is exactly the macro environment where $IREN's pipeline gets filled. That is the trade. And the options market agrees. $50 million in premium just hit on $IREN calls at a $110 strike expiring January 2027. That is highly unusual flow. Smart money is positioning. In summary: - Google raising $80 billion to fund AI infrastructure is the ultimate bull-signal for neoclouds. -I believe neoclouds are about to go on another heater. On top of my $NBIS, $CRWV, $DGXX, $APLD, $KEEL, $CIFR, and $WULF positions... I think it's finally $IREN's time to play catch-up. The options flow seems to agree, with there being over $50 million in premium for the $110 calls expiring in January 2027. Not financial advice. Do your own research. I have a position of 6,000 shares at a $63.70 average cost.
Live
▲ bull
-35%
31d
Jun 2
$IREN
I've initiated a position in $IREN in the overnight markets. A few hours ago, Google just told the world something important: Demand has reached a scale where even $174 billion in annual operating cash flow isn't enough. They're raising $80 billion more in equity on top of $100 billion in existing debt just to keep pace. Sundar Pichai said "compute capacity" is what keeps him up at night. "Be it power, land, supply chain constraints, how do you ramp up to meet this extraordinary demand for this moment?" His answer? Raise $80 billion in equity. Dilute shareholders. Do whatever it takes. They already raised over $85 billion in debt across six currencies in the last year. Total debt balance now over $100 billion. And now back for $80 billion more in equity on top of that. 2027 capex expected to significantly increase compared to 2026's $180 to $190 billion. This is not a company managing a growth cycle. This is a company in a full sprint that cannot build fast enough. And that money does not stay inside Google's walls. It flows downstream into the neoclouds, the power holders, and the companies sitting in the critical path of every dollar they spend. I initiated a position in $IREN today as the catch-up trade in this space. Here's why: - IREN just signed a five-year $3.4 billion AI cloud contract with Nvidia to provide managed GPU cloud services for Nvidia's internal AI and research workloads. On top of that, Nvidia was given a five-year right to purchase up to 30 million IREN shares at $70 per share -> a right to invest up to $2.1 billion. The broader strategic partnership targets deployment of up to 5 gigawatts of Nvidia DSX-aligned AI infrastructure across IREN's global pipeline. - Nvidia chose $IREN as a strategic partner. That is not a small thing. - The stock still trades at roughly $4 to $5 per watt while CoreWeave trades at $26 per watt and NBIS at $20 per watt. The big names already ran. $IREN is the catch-up. Now the risk I want to be honest about: IREN's buildout is heavily dependent on external capital. Between Nvidia's share purchase right and a $2 billion convertible note offering, dilution and debt servicing are real risks. The ATM program is still active. If the stock re-rates upward, dilution could act as a ceiling slowing the move. Eyes open on that. But Google raising $80 billion to meet demand that is outpacing their supply is exactly the macro environment where $IREN's pipeline gets filled. That is the trade. And the options market agrees. $50 million in premium just hit on $IREN calls at a $110 strike expiring January 2027. That is highly unusual flow. Smart money is positioning. In summary: - Google raising $80 billion to fund AI infrastructure is the ultimate bull-signal for neoclouds. -I believe neoclouds are about to go on another heater. On top of my $NBIS, $CRWV, $DGXX, $APLD, $KEEL, $CIFR, and $WULF positions... I think it's finally $IREN's time to play catch-up. The options flow seems to agree, with there being over $50 million in premium for the $110 calls expiring in January 2027. Not financial advice. Do your own research. I have a position of 6,000 shares at a $63.70 average cost.
Live
▲ bull
-35%
31d
Jun 2
$CRWV
I've initiated a position in $CRWV in the overnight markets. After being full-port $NBIS for a year, here's why I believe $CRWV is going to skyrocket in price over the next few months: - $CRWV was named one of the first cloud providers to deploy Vera Rubin in H2 2026. Then Nvidia announced a brand new product, the standalone Vera CPU, and named CoreWeave as the first and only known customer. Another $2 billion invested directly into the company. 11% ownership stake. 8 gigawatts of AI factory capacity targeted by 2030. - The "catch-up" trade: $CRWV is guiding $12 to $13 billion in 2026 revenue. $NBIS is guiding $3.3 billion. Same market cap. 4x the revenue. The gap exists for a reason. CoreWeave carries severe debt and does not have a raid-boss CEO like Arkady running the show. Those are real risks. But in a world where every tech company on the planet is compute-constrained, $CRWV has one direction in my opinion. $200. - SemiAnalysis, the most respected neocloud research firm in the world, gives CoreWeave their highest tier ranking. Not second. Not tied. Highest. The only cloud on earth with Platinum ClusterMAX status. Two years running. - Revenue up 112% year over year. Backlog approaching $100 billion. The hyperscalers are customers, not competitors. Meta. Microsoft. Anthropic. They all pay CoreWeave because they cannot build what CoreWeave built fast enough themselves. - The market cap is $60 billion on a business with $99 billion in locked revenue. Lol. - I'm not worried at all about their debt. If they're not able to pay their debt for whatever reason, we've got bigger problems IMO. I am the worlds biggest $NBIS bull, I could name every last aspect of that company, but $CRWV has gotten so cheap in my opinion that I had to take a position. Not financial advice.
Live
▲ bull
-31.4%
32d
Jun 1
$PENG
Here's why $PENG is skyrocketing after-hours: $DELL just dropped the most bullish AI infrastructure print of the year. - Record revenue of $43.8 billion, up 88%. $24.4 billion in AI orders in a single quarter. $16.1 billion in AI server revenue recognized. - Full year guidance raised to $165 to $169 billion. AI server revenue up 757% year over year. - Full year AI server guidance raised from $50 billion to $60 billion. The CEO said it on the call. The AI opportunity shows no signs of slowing. The read-through everyone is missing? $PENG. Penguin builds the same enterprise AI clusters Dell sells. Same supply chain. Same sovereign AI customers. Same AMD EPYC backbone. Dell just told you the demand does not stop. $PENG is at 15x forward earnings. Photonics optionality completely unpriced. $DELL validated the thesis tonight.
Live
▲ bull
+27.3%
36d
May 28
$CLF
Why I'm Betting $1,000,000 on $CLF Part 1: (Fundamentals) The monopoly nobody talks about: $CLF is the ONLY domestic manufacturer of grain-oriented electrical steel in the United States. GOES. The specialized steel inside every electrical transformer that powers every data center, every EV charging station, every grid infrastructure project being built right now. No CLF. No transformers. No transformers. No power. No power. No AI. The entire AI buildout physically cannot happen without this company. That is not a slogan. That is a supply chain fact. The JPMorgan catalyst hiding in plain sight. On the Q2 2025 earnings call, CFO Celso Goncalves disclosed that CLF hired JPMorgan as advisor to market three idled mill sites directly to data center developers. Riverdale IL. Steelton PA. Conshohocken PA. His exact words: "uniquely positioned geographically... access to power and water with infrastructure already in place." Steelton has been continuously operating since 1867. The grid interconnects. The water rights. The rail access. The industrial zoning. All of it is already there. These are the four hardest things to permit for a greenfield AI campus and CLF already has all of them sitting idle. A single announced deal here is a two-vector catalyst simultaneously. Now for the fun part: Part 2: (The Catalyst) The Call Options Flow has been going NUCLEAR for DAYS now. The options market doesn't load up like this on guesses. Someone is positioned for an announcement. When JPMorgan is running a live sale process, site visits are happening, NDAs are getting signed, and someone always knows before the press release drops. People are betting millions of dollars on a short-term explosion in stock price. TL;DR - Right now $CLF is priced as a steel company. The moment one of those mill sites sells to a data center developer the market reprices it as an AI infrastructure company. That is not a small multiple expansion. That is a completely different conversation. I've built my largest position. The monopoly is real. The catalyst fuse has been lit. The options flow is telling you something.
Live
▲ bull
-29.1%
36d
May 28
$CLF
I have initiated a large position in $CLF $CLF call flow has gone ballistic recently, and here's why I believe it can 3x within a year: $CLF is the ONLY domestic manufacturer of grain-oriented electrical steel (GOES) in the United States. This specialized steel is used in electrical transformers that power every data center, EV charging station, and grid infrastructure project in the country. CFO Celso Goncalves said it on the Q2 2025 call. CLF hired JPMorgan as advisor to market three idled mill sites: Riverdale IL, Steelton PA, Conshohocken PA, directly to data center developers. His words: "uniquely positioned geographically... access to power and water with infrastructure already in place." Steelton has been continuously operating since 1867. The power and cooling infrastructure is already there. These are brownfield industrial sites. The hardest part is already done. A single announced deal re-rates this stock two ways simultaneously: Debt reduction catalyst: $CLF carries $7.78B in debt on a $6.4B market cap This might have an aggressive AI infrastructure re-rating. The market assigns a completely different multiple overnight. Options market is pricing in a move. The call buyers loading up all day aren't wrong. This is not financial advice. Huge shoutout to @pennycheck for his investigative mega-mind, and @aleabitoreddit for initially making me aware of this idea. $CLF
Live
▲ bull
-26.6%
37d
May 27
$FLY
My bold prediction for $RKLB fans - $FLY will 3x before EOY based off recent earnings and SpaceX IPO run-up
Win
▲ bull
+147.8%
101d
Mar 24
$NBIS
BTW $NBIS Nebius gang, we have a brand new data center in Independence, and no hyper-scaler deal announced yet to go with it... 😸 only one thing happens next...
Live
▲ bull
+112.1%
113d
Mar 12
$NBIS
$NBIS is the ultimate AI ETF - Data Centers - Robotics - Autonomous Vehicles - Database Management - AI Inference Platform All for <25B marketcap, growing 600% YoY The US GDP is propped up by AI Capex spending And you're buying dead healthcare stocks, and dying software???
Live
▲ bull
+133.8%
140d
Feb 13
$NBIS
It's only a matter of time before Nebius Group rockets to $200 $NBIS https://t.co/B3Kz0MuGGh
Loss
▲ bull
-33.6%
238d
Nov 7
$NBIS
I genuinely feel so bad for everyone who hasn’t had the time or desire to do the DD on $NBIS and sold because of a few red days after a 150% run up Generational company in the absolute HOTTEST sector that every mag7 is spending all their money on… we’ve only just begun 😉
Loss
▲ bull
-32.2%
256d
Oct 20
$NBIS
I literally don’t care $NBIS is down 20% from its highs, same thing happened after the $MSFT deal pump, then it moonshot. Know what you own, or lose sleep over it.
Loss
▲ bull
-34.9%
259d
Oct 17
$NBIS
I just realized $NBIS ACTUALLY is going to $200 by EOY… wow
Loss
▲ bull
-43%
266d
Oct 10
$NBIS
I am shaking. I just completed my $NBIS TA (Technical Support for you IDIOTS) and can confirm for the first time in history, we are reaching the golden Fibonacci channel, the OPEX 3 tier support group, and the Epstein Funnel... all at once. This means... $NBIS to $1000 tomorrow https://t.co/DFp50pEHcf
Loss
▲ bull
-25.6%
285d
Sep 21
$NBIS
I strongly believe $NBIS will be announcing a massive deal with OpenAI for a UK project this month.
Win
▲ bull
+49.8%
292d
Sep 14
$NBIS
BTW $NBIS is now a $300 stock on sale for $100... good luck
Win
▲ bull
+111.5%
298d
Sep 8
$NBIS
99% sure $NBIS is going to get a pump off $CRWV earnings AH… bought more $NBIS 🤷🏽
Win
▲ bull
+79.8%
325d
Aug 12
$NBIS
$NBIS Just waiting for new analyst coverage for the fun to really begin. Could see $200 by EOY with another good quarter.
Win
▲ bull
+96.9%
329d
Aug 8
$CIFR
Seems like tomorrow will be a good day to own 40,000 shares of $CIFR/ $IREN
Win
▲ bull
+309.8%
354d
Jul 14
$IREN
Seems like tomorrow will be a good day to own 40,000 shares of $CIFR/ $IREN
Win
▲ bull
+342.2%
354d
Jul 14
$NBIS
Why is $NBIS up 9% overnight? Nebius Co-Founder, early today teased: "something interesting to announce" at this weeks tech conference ON TOP OF: 1. Trending Sector: AI Data Centers 2. New 84$ Price Target 3. Recent Bezos investment $NBIS to $100 EOY https://t.co/iYFV03VExq
Win
▲ bull
+157.6%
389d
Jun 9
$ASTS
Bought 1,000 more shares of $ASTS and 1,000 more shares of $RKLB after-hours. As long as Elon continues crashing out, both will go parabolic, and $ASTS will have a short-squeeze catalyst
Win
▲ bull
+92.6%
392d
Jun 6
$RKLB
Bought 1,000 more shares of $ASTS and 1,000 more shares of $RKLB after-hours. As long as Elon continues crashing out, both will go parabolic, and $ASTS will have a short-squeeze catalyst
Win
▲ bull
+139.5%
392d
Jun 6
$RKLB
God bless trumps ego, long $ASTS $RKLB 🤣🤣🤣
Win
▲ bull
+161.9%
393d
Jun 5
$ASTS
God bless trumps ego, long $ASTS $RKLB 🤣🤣🤣
Win
▲ bull
+94.7%
393d
Jun 5
$RKLB
If you're a $RKLB investor down a ton like I am, fear not: All we need is one final catalyst to end all catalysts: An alien invasion. Space meets Defense, in it's final form. Trillions spent, and while Elon has his toes in Trumps mouth? $RKLB will rule. $RKLB $5000 EOY
Win
▲ bull
+241.6%
493d
Feb 25
$NBIS
Just finished a 4 day deep-dive on $NBIS. I VERY much like what I see. My PT is $150 by EOY, fully expecting this to be a new generational company If you’re a $NVDA $SNOW Investor, I think you’ll love what you see
Loss
▲ bull
-49.6%
496d
Feb 22
$RDW
To my $RKLB fam - I highly recommend taking a position in $RDW while it’s on sale from the past few days - Sir Peter Beck has said in multiple interviews a huge issue is supply… $RDW is the solution. Very undervalued IMO, great long hold
Loss
▲ bull
-62.5%
498d
Feb 20
$RKLB
Bought 4000 more $RKLB today at the bottom - if we go any lower I’ll personally start my own rocket company to compete instead Total shares: 14,000 @ 25.60 average https://t.co/LV5AF3J80U
Loss
▲ bull
-35.2%
498d
Feb 20
$RKLB
For anyone thinking of investing in $BABA $BIDU $PDD $TIGR Stick to $RKLB https://t.co/ZTBjJfVn9m
Loss
▲ bull
-40.7%
506d
Feb 12
$RKLB
In 10 years from now, every last person who saw $RKLB at this price and didn’t load up, will likely regret it forever. Still 20x cheaper than spaceX, and it’s STILL early in the space economy🚀 https://t.co/nKhxqk71u6
Loss
▲ bull
-43.2%
543d
Jan 6
