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@TechCharts
@TechCharts
VERIFIED
Aksel Kibar, CMT
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Technical analysis
Global macro
Indices & ETFs
Commodities
Position trader
When right vs when wrong
Average return when a call wins vs loses — and how long each takes.
When right
+47%
peaks in
~127d
·
820
wins
When wrong
-28%
fades in
~110d
·
673
losses
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post and how it stacked up against his usual.
All
100
Wins
19
Losses
8
Live
73
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$SOLUSD
$SOLUSD Short, sideways consolidation acting as bearish continuation after the diamond top. https://t.co/PkwhZx2fOc
Live
▼ bear
-25.9%
27d
Jun 6
$XRPUSD
$XRPUSD https://t.co/wqFlzc8fDU
Live
▼ bear
+3%
28d
Jun 5
$PEPEUSD
$PEPEUSD https://t.co/bOH2vpKYrN https://t.co/uUJ9fj3q8a
Live
▼ bear
+33.3%
28d
Jun 5
$PEPEUSD
$PEPEUSD https://t.co/mIqr4RoBR3 https://t.co/NgsvAiD0UC
Live
▼ bear
+33.3%
30d
Jun 3
$BTCUSD
I showed the below chart in the post to highlight the counter trend nature of BTCUSD channel. If it is taking 3 weeks to drop to a level and then 3 months to climb back up to retrace only 50% of the move, that is a counter trend move. $BTCUSD Latest channel broke down. and I discussed it in the special #cryptocurrency report as it was taking place. https://t.co/wak7vcrjGK
Live
▼ bear
+5.8%
30d
Jun 3
$URA
So far this has been a good rebound from the lower boundary of the #ascending triangle. $URA https://t.co/eXVEbpHwMP https://t.co/hoJ1te01kJ
Live
▲ bull
-19.2%
31d
Jun 2
$VOW
$VOW https://t.co/aUACBM1ZFd https://t.co/0PLh3Hfrn3
Live
▲ bull
+27%
35d
May 29
$MSTR
$MSTR If price and time symmetry will be respected in the possible H&S bottom reversal, this is the max correction for the right shoulder. Breakout above the neckline will be the signal. https://t.co/ctEOAyU3Vb
Live
▲ bull
-41.3%
35d
May 29
$XMHQ
$XMHQ https://t.co/yVPn2qNo7K
Live
▲ bull
+2.1%
35d
May 29
$URA
$URA with its #ascendingtriangle setup. Price held above the 200-day average. https://t.co/39dh9QaKRw
Live
▲ bull
-14.9%
35d
May 29
$XRPUSD
$XRPUSD 1.6 resistance. Latest consolidation below the resistance and can act as a bearish continuation. https://t.co/YVTaafBtfj
Live
▼ bear
+19.1%
36d
May 28
$WULF
A chart forms higher lows and start bumping into a horizontal resistance. Test after test. It throws you around at the time of breakout with an out of line movement. But then completes the pattern and resumes higher. The pattern actually reveals that accumulation information. Sometimes it gets difficult to get on board. You might not get on board at all. But know that more often than not you will capture a directional move out of those patterns. It's not always chop around pattern boundaries. $WULF
Live
▲ bull
-6.4%
38d
May 26
$URA
$URA on daily with its possible ascending triangle. The 200-day moving average has been a great level to monitor as buyers are stepping in around that level. https://t.co/d8YkNAvbZm https://t.co/vr9wKIFGXV
Live
▲ bull
-15.1%
38d
May 26
$IXG
$IXG Global Financials https://t.co/w3gtamGMSY
Live
▲ bull
+4.3%
38d
May 26
$EWS
$EWS #SINGAPORE A text-book #rectangle #ETF @jonbking https://t.co/diLkgMtga3
Live
▲ bull
+2.5%
43d
May 21
$EWS
$EWS Text-book #rectangle. Closer to a breakout. https://t.co/hkiws3s6kI
Live
▲ bull
+2.2%
44d
May 20
$COST
$COST A Type 1 breakout likely to extend beyond price objective. https://t.co/bure1UTLKv
Live
▲ bull
-13.9%
44d
May 20
$URA
While constituents of the $URA #ETF weakened over the past week, the chart pattern on $URA is still valid and can be analyzed as an #ascendingtriangle. https://t.co/5iaRei4yOu
Live
▲ bull
-8.5%
45d
May 19
$COST
From recent #breakout #alerts $COST #rectangle https://t.co/vfwYzGWShk
Live
▲ bull
-14.1%
46d
May 18
$XU100
#BIST100 Uptrend channel. Can drift sideways inside the channel. https://t.co/c603ve0LfK
Live
▲ bull
+0.5%
48d
May 16
$ACWI
$ACWI Global Equities steep advance after V reversal. 148.8-151.4 area support. First gap can get filled. https://t.co/gMgWoSw5dq
Live
▲ bull
+2%
48d
May 16
$EWS
$EWS @jonbking https://t.co/4eqvy51VVQ
Live
▲ bull
+4.4%
49d
May 15
$ORA
A bit too volatile for my liking but looks ready with a #rectangle setups $ORA #CAC #FRANCE https://t.co/sbAIUUPkEQ
Live
▲ bull
-12%
52d
May 12
$EEM
$EEM https://t.co/9LlxaclyYW https://t.co/nmWLrXK4v7
Live
▲ bull
-1.6%
54d
May 10
$EEM
$EEM vs $SPY Long-term base completed. Says Emerging Markets outperformance... https://t.co/6DUvi4ckzB
Live
▲ bull
-1.6%
54d
May 10
$TUR
Emerging Markets fund managers, Asset Allocators... Are you paying attention? Don't tell me afterwards, woodoo, squigly lines, reading tea leaves etc... This is called a H&S bottom reversal. The longer the base the stronger the breakout and the directional movement. I leave the accompanying fundamental narrative to you. $TUR.
Live
▲ bull
-9%
55d
May 9
$QQQ
Article explains why it comes difficult to jump on board a breakout like this. $QQQ https://t.co/loTHagXnsS https://t.co/nmWLrXK4v7
Live
▲ bull
+2.1%
55d
May 9
$MSTR
$MSTR the only long setup that will make me excited. A possible right shoulder for few weeks/month. A higher low. https://t.co/dhkNUru4TQ
Live
▲ bull
-50.2%
56d
May 8
$BLBD
#TECHCHARTSMEMBERS $BLBD is resuming higher after slight hesitation around pattern boundary. If we reach price objective, this will be categorized as Type 2 breakout. https://t.co/7NDFpQbp4J
Live
▲ bull
+9.7%
56d
May 8
$CL
#CRUDEOIL https://t.co/VM14P8mCLZ https://t.co/3Nwc6bFNyX
Live
▲ bull
+6.2%
57d
May 7
$NDX
#NASDAQ vs. #RUSSELL a strong weekly close above neckline at 9.8 and also the upper boundary of the wedge will reverse the trend and favor Tech over Small Caps once again. https://t.co/5Y4s1aHFan
Live
▲ bull
+4.2%
57d
May 7
$NUKZ
Probably due to its composition, much closer to a breakout $NUKZ Also the same chart pattern with a well-defined horizontal boundary. https://t.co/tQxYJks09T https://t.co/XRH5iAj7KI
Live
▲ bull
-12.3%
58d
May 6
$URA
$URA Possible #ascendingtriagle with higher lows and horizontal resistance. Buyers gaining strength in this chart pattern. https://t.co/rK1wgdZZrh
Live
▲ bull
-25.9%
58d
May 6
$ORA
$ORA a bit volatile for my liking but clearly a good setup. https://t.co/2GirK4vt74
Win
▲ bull
+25.9%
59d
May 5
$NUKZ
$NUKZ ascending triangle. Bullish. https://t.co/eyXa9Eoj7M
Live
▲ bull
-7.9%
60d
May 4
$MOO
$MOO has legs. @jonbking Possible ascending triangle here...? https://t.co/7VZu4ZzOX6
Live
▲ bull
-5.6%
60d
May 4
$BTCUSD
$BTCUSD holding close to the upper boundary of channel. Can we see a quick sharp directional move soon with a breakout higher? A re-test of the year-long average? https://t.co/g65PXZCymJ
Live
▲ bull
-23.2%
61d
May 3
$TUR
$TUR #ETF Looking really good and possibly getting ready for a breakout. https://t.co/XJg5Rytnmu
Live
▲ bull
-6.9%
62d
May 2
$MSTR
$MSTR around support levels I start looking for possible bottom reversal chart patterns. Formation of a right shoulder can meet my expectation of the possible reversal. Which will also mean a higher low. Stay tuned for more updates on this. https://t.co/6UWrdFHhT5
Live
▲ bull
-47.3%
63d
May 1
$ACWI
$ACWI managing to hold above the broken resistance/support of 148.8 and possibly forming a bullish flag is very positive. https://t.co/deIYuWd2iS
Live
▲ bull
+3.6%
63d
May 1
$USO
$USO https://t.co/IfCvsG81fb https://t.co/IDyWk9Xk7F
Live
▲ bull
-31.4%
65d
Apr 29
$DXY
Just reminding you that this setup is still active. $DXY another test of the horizontal upper boundary puts the chart on our radar for a breakout higher. https://t.co/Atv3VkSZMD
Live
▲ bull
-21.1%
65d
Apr 29
$ETHBTC
$ETHBTC favors $BTC as the ratio trends downwards in a channel. https://t.co/Mki6CcWN1H
Live
▼ bear
+9.8%
67d
Apr 27
$BTC
$ETHBTC favors $BTC as the ratio trends downwards in a channel. https://t.co/Mki6CcWN1H
Live
▲ bull
-22.1%
67d
Apr 27
$URA
$URA Conviction for a breakout higher is increasing. More on this and its constituents >> https://t.co/3PXD6BGq77 with the upcoming report. https://t.co/UK7EoKAK8p
Live
▲ bull
-25.2%
72d
Apr 22
$URA
Same channel, acted as the base. Price continues to remain in an uptrend with each low at a higher level. Short-term resistance at 61. $URA https://t.co/nO8OaOEdsD https://t.co/hVvylmbL0x
Live
▲ bull
-21.9%
78d
Apr 16
$URA
$URA Higher lows above the long-term average. https://t.co/Vs7J6usa9U
Live
▲ bull
-21.9%
78d
Apr 16
$QQQ
$TUR #TURKIYE #ETF $QQQ https://t.co/om98Te3OrC
Live
▲ bull
+13.9%
79d
Apr 15
$TUR
$TUR #TURKIYE #ETF $QQQ https://t.co/om98Te3OrC
Live
▲ bull
-6.9%
79d
Apr 15
$MAGS
$NVDA / $MAGS https://t.co/94vu1bwkIP
Live
▲ bull
+0.9%
79d
Apr 15
$NVDA
$NVDA / $MAGS https://t.co/94vu1bwkIP
Win
▲ bull
+18.5%
79d
Apr 15
$NVDA
$NVDA / $MAGS ready. https://t.co/3nK7NP3c9d
Win
▲ bull
+25%
82d
Apr 12
$MAGS
$NVDA / $MAGS ready. https://t.co/3nK7NP3c9d
Win
▲ bull
+16%
82d
Apr 12
$TUR
Looking good $TUR #ETF https://t.co/3CzXA8Gmol https://t.co/V2rU52mp1x
Live
▲ bull
-5.8%
83d
Apr 11
$CBL
#TECHCHARTSMEMBERS $CBL reached its chart pattern price target. This looks like a Type 1 breakout that can exceed the pattern objective. https://t.co/GRNMsfjSFk
Live
▲ bull
+31.2%
84d
Apr 10
$TUR
Most exciting long-term chart for #TURKIYE $TUR #ETF https://t.co/gofWshUrtg https://t.co/iUG9Y2hKXn
Live
▲ bull
-5.8%
84d
Apr 10
$DXY
If the week closes at the highs of this candle, I will continue to view this as a consolidation above the year-long average and base building. $DXY https://t.co/YxSIYSPxO9
Win
▲ bull
+68%
85d
Apr 9
$NI
#INDUSTRIAL #METALS #NICKEL Re-test of horizontal support with a falling wedge. Possible bullish setup. Can resume higher with a breakout. https://t.co/Y9BHa9qkQV
Live
▲ bull
-2.7%
85d
Apr 9
$RUT
$RUT short-term range breaks on the upside. Long-term average held. https://t.co/zqzqgKKpTN https://t.co/xiB4qujyMe
Live
▲ bull
+15%
86d
Apr 8
$SOL
$SOLUSD Several #cryptocurrency pairs have the same price action. Sharp corrections followed by muted sideways, tight consolidations. Which can be bearish pennants or flags. https://t.co/yPHlCbeOgB
Win
▼ bear
+27.4%
87d
Apr 7
$SSE
#CHINA #SSE50 still looks like a bear flag. Didn't rebound like Europe or U.S. equities. https://t.co/lpanvSVZlw
Win
▼ bear
+62%
87d
Apr 7
$TUR
When you draw horizontal boundaries, they are less likely to be adjusted. They offer continuous perspective on supply/demand areas. Analysis on $TUR from 2023 vs 2026. You can see the importance of $29 and How I continue to see the price action constructive and looking for a breakout above $44 for the uptrend to resume.
Live
▲ bull
+1.8%
90d
Apr 4
$TUR
$TUR Still bullish for me. A higher low and a re-test of 44 will increase conviction on this setup. Given the headline news, seems low probability right? https://t.co/e89qIIfQvT
Live
▲ bull
+1.8%
91d
Apr 3
$MAGS
Everybody saw this pattern. Yet, it still worked. $MAGS All this self-doubt, doubt about a method, appears when the performance hits a rough bumpy ride. This is when most abandon the strategy, the discipline. Jump to another method, searching for the "holy grail". Being thrown from one method to another, not being able (having the chance to experience) to realize the long-term impact of the small losses and larger sized wins of a system.
Win
▲ bull
+21.7%
91d
Apr 3
$DXY
Here is how the weekly chart looks. A possible double bottom? Last few week's consolidation above the 200-day (40 week) average can be a preparation for breakout higher. $DXY https://t.co/iBl2p4pNmY https://t.co/m8mcjeVlE1
Win
▲ bull
+69.4%
91d
Apr 3
$URA
A higher low above the long-term average for $URA will be really bullish setup. Can end up forming an ascending triangle in the following weeks. More on this and other Global benchmarks >> https://t.co/3PXD6BGq77 https://t.co/WdKKXpXjZn
Live
▲ bull
-11.7%
91d
Apr 3
$GC
#GOLD/#SILVER https://t.co/CgistfSkoA https://t.co/RjDB4mIlya
Live
▼ bear
+12.1%
92d
Apr 2
$DXY
$DXY https://t.co/S38MCMrHAV https://t.co/62rHB90V83
Win
▲ bull
+64%
92d
Apr 2
$RUT
That tight consolidation, if it breaks on the downside... Breaches the long-term average and breaks down the short-term well-defined pattern. A clear pattern signal. Be prepared. $RUT https://t.co/meFs7vpfAv
Live
▼ bear
-19.1%
92d
Apr 2
$BTCUSD
#8 is written for the bearish wedge on $BTCUSD. https://t.co/wJfTddsnHd
Loss
▼ bear
-22.8%
92d
Apr 2
$EURUSD
If $EURUSD coils below the 200-day average and forms a short-term symmetrical triangle, highly possible it will act as a bearish continuation towards 1.112. https://t.co/WhxwcvLSFU https://t.co/tvil4yrUMv
Loss
▼ bear
-1.9%
92d
Apr 2
$CL
MAR2027 Channel breakout, followed by pullback and re-test. Am I seeing it wrong? Now of course we have some geniuses out there who will say this is a false breakout... but I have always trusted the price action rather than geniuses. https://t.co/XJJcJ3uusj https://t.co/cMsxxZ0cJM
Live
▲ bull
+9.5%
94d
Mar 31
$CL
#CRUDEOIL DEC 2026. Pure price action analysis tells me breakout and re-test. https://t.co/22SpuODbJK
Live
▲ bull
+9.5%
94d
Mar 31
$EURUSD
$EURUSD I start looking at it with a bullish view only above 1.1630. https://t.co/JNMArMw2ro
Win
▲ bull
+3%
94d
Mar 31
$ACWI
$ACWI Recovered above 136. Needs to settle above 200-day average. There is a possibility of a developing right shoulder that can take prices towards 143 in several weeks. Middle East mission is not completed. https://t.co/50xeE1OMqh
Live
▲ bull
+13.6%
94d
Mar 31
$SSE
#CHINA #SSE clearly below its 200-day average and so far failing to fill the gap with pre-mature war de-escalation news. https://t.co/NTZCyHt4tA
Win
▼ bear
+62.1%
94d
Mar 31
$RUT
$RUT at inflection point. The short-term consolidation right at the 200-day average can act as a bearish continuation. Below 200-day average, caution. https://t.co/nT3GWzMBzU
Live
▼ bear
-24.8%
95d
Mar 30
$DXY
$DXY Getting closer to a breakout. https://t.co/mT39LyEm1T https://t.co/m8mcjeVlE1
Win
▲ bull
+62.7%
95d
Mar 30
$DXY
Waiting for a similar signal on $DXY. Though, this time on the upside. Breakout above 101 can complete last 9 month's base above the 200-day average. https://t.co/9jPBco2RS4 https://t.co/9wCKM1fLmZ
Win
▲ bull
+57.7%
97d
Mar 28
$ARKK
$ARKK Usually, a weak price action right below the 200-day average is followed by acceleration of the downtrend. https://t.co/o5PVdZnrHK https://t.co/zJNx23I7lQ
Live
▼ bear
-26.6%
97d
Mar 28
$GC
Long white monthly candles... See what I wrote for #GOLD in a similar strong breakout. Very important... duration of consolidations and what can follow after the breakouts. https://t.co/ykoHkp56zZ https://t.co/A0hyyEBkXl
Live
▲ bull
-9%
98d
Mar 27
$GC
Long-term breakouts are followed by multi-month long trends. See below my analysis for #GOLD https://t.co/Vaih0hFnRB https://t.co/JTO2iIuy1T
Live
▲ bull
-9%
98d
Mar 27
$USO
I don't think this is a one month trend. There is possibly more following this breakout. $USO Is there a possibility of strait's disruption goes from days to months? https://t.co/CasY53QSqm https://t.co/09Z8sX4Kfc
Win
▲ bull
+23.2%
98d
Mar 27
$BTBT
$BTBT Rejection at the horizontal lower boundary, now followed by acceleration on the downside. https://t.co/gCxkcTqxSt
Live
▼ bear
-35.1%
98d
Mar 27
$MAGS
Below 200-day average, embrace for impact. $MAGS https://t.co/ZxhtVFpX8L https://t.co/9WVbBTTwbT
Loss
▼ bear
-27.9%
98d
Mar 27
$ARKK
$ARKK needs Plunge Protection Team stepping in here. If not, this chart accelerates on the downside. Price below 200-day and a H&S top... https://t.co/I5HvZKd8Bj https://t.co/vdnAuxnCNl
Live
▼ bear
-26.6%
98d
Mar 27
$CSX
2 breakout alerts. Different markets, sectors and geographies. 1 chart pattern. Do you know your sweet spot chart pattern setup? That even if you were shown the same pattern 100 times, you know where you will jump in, where you will claim it is failing and exit and at what level you will say I book y profits? Think about this. You need few setups and mastery on identification & execution. Less is more. >> https://t.co/V1T7ssPR2B
Live
▲ bull
+22.2%
98d
Mar 27
$CSX
2 recent #breakout alerts. Different markets, sectors and geographies. Same chart pattern. Do you know what a text-book breakout and pattern looks like for you? What is the one setup that you would trade closed eyes. Think about this. Because less is more. https://t.co/HieXHzheq0
Live
▲ bull
+22.2%
98d
Mar 27
$TUR
$TUR Reversed from 44 resistance. Monitoring it for a higher low above 35 levels. https://t.co/MKiQDTuBo2 https://t.co/zDougFS6Qk
Win
▲ bull
+16.3%
98d
Mar 27
$BIST100
#BIST100 Short-term bearish pennant. Reversion to the mean continues after the index met its price target. Support area: 11,600-11,750 https://t.co/JLhEbUZHsP
Loss
▼ bear
-19.2%
98d
Mar 27
$EURUSD
Breakdown, pullback and continuation? $EURUSD #FX https://t.co/KLhz12bCSl https://t.co/KApY7df7aA
Loss
▼ bear
-2.1%
99d
Mar 26
$NASDAQ
#NASDAQ Possible breakdown of inflection point. https://t.co/g1GQP5zgRs
Live
▼ bear
-21.6%
99d
Mar 26
$MAGS
$MAGS https://t.co/dGiPRt4vU9 https://t.co/9WVbBTTwbT
Loss
▼ bear
-24.4%
99d
Mar 26
$CL
Floor $80 for now. https://t.co/memiavcePp https://t.co/6dkfTnHoeD
Live
▲ bull
+9.6%
102d
Mar 23
$DXY
$DXY consolidation below horizontal resistance and the 200-day average. Increased conviction for an upside break. https://t.co/itYdipaBT0 https://t.co/m8mcjeVlE1
Win
▲ bull
+45.4%
102d
Mar 23
$SSE
#CHINA #SSE50 significant breakdown. https://t.co/dy9DgzEOKc
Win
▼ bear
+62.1%
102d
Mar 23
$SILVER
Long-term #SILVER investors... This is the chart that you should be focusing on. 50 level was broken on the upside after decades. As long as it holds above that level, long-term investment/asset allocation theme is intact. https://t.co/YyOSoPwjge
Win
▲ bull
+28.2%
103d
Mar 22
$ARKK
$ARKK https://t.co/WIA4xrzUOZ
Live
▼ bear
-18.4%
103d
Mar 22
$BTCUSD
No better time to highlight the importance of long-term averages as a trend filter. After breaking down the year-long average around 100K, the first rising bearish wedge found resistance at the average. The second possible bearish wedge is having difficulty to breach the resistance area between 72K-76.5K. Conclusion: once you establish a trend below long-term average, chances are high you are sitting on a weak price action that is exposed to more surprises on the downside. $BTCUSD
Loss
▼ bear
-21.1%
103d
Mar 22
$AVGO
Below 200-day average, embrace for impact. It can be a quick move with a V reversal or prolonged, several months. When you are below the 200-dya average, it is best to take defensive action. $AVGO https://t.co/w7NbvbLNCM
Loss
▼ bear
-55.4%
103d
Mar 22
