Bullz
eye
Leaderboard
Calls
Tickers
Methodology
Sign up
← Leaderboard
›
@TheRealNasa00
@TheRealNasa00
VERIFIED
🛸 FROG-TZU 🛸
·
97K
followers
+ Follow
Watchlist
Share
Swing trader
Big-cap tech
Semis
Growth stocks
Stocks
When right vs when wrong
Average return when a call wins vs loses — and how long each takes.
When right
+49%
peaks in
~129d
·
403
wins
When wrong
-35%
fades in
~104d
·
423
losses
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post and how it stacked up against his usual.
All
100
Wins
43
Losses
37
Live
20
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$AMKR
$AMKR OSAT handling the Rubin . us hq also . Rubin is huge and complex packaging so every wafer tsm cant pack ase or AMKR will get . https://t.co/bZ99noFxrQ
Live
▲ bull
+7.1%
31d
Jun 2
$SERV
May 21 sent $SERV https://t.co/NZex1MUNge
Live
▲ bull
-31.2%
36d
May 28
$AMZN
$AMZN Prev ath held last week and Friday it closed at the 8ema and above the wedge. There is a sneaky Openai angle here I would look into imo. https://t.co/JCOb7u0Zvw
Live
▲ bull
-9.2%
39d
May 25
$ARM
$ARM Pretty crazy weekly setup into NVDA earnings..... https://t.co/k3G68QD4p7
Live
▲ bull
+51.2%
45d
May 19
$HPE
$HPE (Might be stupid) Seems to be overlooked as of now within the AI, memory, and photonics trade. HPE is an old dog that just made a new ATH and fits right into the next AI bottleneck. It's a secondary derivative to this trade. Phase 1 was chips and memory and Phase 2 is the system level bottleneck, which is how data is stored, and storage is becoming the next major issue. HPE fits this build well and it is an established name with a solid book and customers including Nvidia and others. HPE built the enterprise grade object storage system designed specifically for this problem. The Alletra Storage MP X10000 is the first Nvidia certified object based storage platform for enterprise AI. On top of this, the Juniper acquisition puts them right into networking to reduce memory cost inflation. If 30 can hold and theme stays hot why not see an old dog run vs the pre rev spec names ? Just a thought . Old yeller ?
Live
▲ bull
+37.4%
51d
May 13
$XE
$XE Part of the cycle where I find 10 day old ipo w options in the hottest sectors and post .... Today nuclear names rallied hard. NNE, SMR, and OKLO all exploded. The new IPO XE is pretty credible imo as it is backed by Amazon. It was also the largest nuclear IPO in Nuclear history ( I could be making that up). If the sector stays hot into SMR earnings I would not mind trading this up into all time highs using the $40 calls which saw some volume today. It had a solid session but I think XE could have the more to offer if markets keep sector hot.
Live
▲ bull
-41.6%
58d
May 6
$HIMS
$HIMS BUILDING OUT A NICE FLAG ON THE DAILY RIGHT UNDER THE 200 DAY. IT HAS HAD A REALLY NICE PUSH UP OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS AND IS NOW CONSOLIDATING. THE IDEA HERE WOULD BE TO TRADE OFF THIS 30–32 ZONE. WITH 33% SHORT FLOAT IT IS WORTH WATCHING.ALSO NOTE NVO NEWS FRIDAY + VOL THAT HIT THAT ON FRIDAY. https://t.co/x1MWjsMkf6
Live
▲ bull
+22.9%
68d
Apr 26
$BMNR
$BMNR With BTC pushing and SPY at ath I am wondering if they go after eth next. If so one of the best proxies is BMNR imo. ETH is at that weekly gap and if pushes higher think a 300 point move can occur. If that does happen I think BMNR can move similar to MSTR as the setup is identical imo. 25 would be target up if w.h break on vol imo.
Live
▲ bull
-38.3%
77d
Apr 17
$IGV
$SMH vs $IGV A pair trade that many are getting eyes on now. Software vs Chips . If you think ai kills SaaS it means chips / compute needs are much larger. Hence the inverse of the two etfs. When you kill the software layer you do not kill the compute layer. you actually expand it. So if you think SaaS becomes obsolete your thinking would be chips / memory will go higher. If you think SaaS sell is overblown given their earnings growth and wont disappear then chip needs may not be as great Saas expected and SaaS companies regain some momentum. Hence the pair trade many are noticing now. $SPY
Loss
▼ bear
-27.7%
78d
Apr 16
$SMH
$SMH vs $IGV A pair trade that many are getting eyes on now. Software vs Chips . If you think ai kills SaaS it means chips / compute needs are much larger. Hence the inverse of the two etfs. When you kill the software layer you do not kill the compute layer. you actually expand it. So if you think SaaS becomes obsolete your thinking would be chips / memory will go higher. If you think SaaS sell is overblown given their earnings growth and wont disappear then chip needs may not be as great Saas expected and SaaS companies regain some momentum. Hence the pair trade many are noticing now. $SPY
Live
▲ bull
+36.4%
78d
Apr 16
$TLT
$TLT Talk about this in depth on the Substack below , but something I am watching into this cpi print is tlt. How will odds of a cut / hike shift after this 1% spike in inflation ? CPI ↑ → Hike odds ↑ → Yields ↑ → TLT ↓ Worth watching imo incase base case on cuts / hikes shift after the print. 4/17 chain makes sense for opex . Also note IV on tlt is sitting at roughly 11.9% with an iv rank somewhere between 19 and 32%. that is near the low end of the past year. Does not seem to be priced in at all imo.
Win
▼ bear
+4%
89d
Apr 5
$MRNA
$MRNA Trapped in this flag since March 4th 50 holding as it pushes up into the top of the flag. 55 is the spot to trade off imo. https://t.co/NZmn2vli3B
Live
▲ bull
+35.4%
100d
Mar 25
$VG
$VG Inside day and a lot of flow for next opex 17.5/20c If lwh break think 20 zone comes into play. Main reason for LNG spike lw was the following and why I traded / am monitoring close here. Iranian strikes damaged Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG hub, one of the most important gas export facilities in the world. About 17% of Qatar’s LNG export capacity was knocked offline, and repairs could take years. Qatar largest lng exporter. Ras laffan handles 20% of all exports If Trump's 48 hr deadline is real oil and lng in middle east runs into big issue imo. Worth watching imo as VG does already produce lng and is cheaper / easier to trade than $LNG
Live
▲ bull
-30.1%
103d
Mar 22
$HOOD
$HOOD Weekly bearflag as it runs back into recent lows and htis 70 zone. BTC proxy also . Idea is trade vs 70 area imo. If breaks 65 p into zone below can be in play If 70 holds back to the top of the range using 75c. All comes down to btc ,Trump tweets, and the 6475 jpm collar imo.
Live
▼ bear
-53.3%
103d
Mar 22
$SMCI
$SMCI SMCI: COILED TIGHT OVER THE LAST FEW MONTHS AS IT HAS BEEN PINNED TO THIS 30-35 ZONE SINCE NOV OF LAST YEAR. HOWEVER, WITH NVDA GTC EVENT ON GOING AND DAY 2 FOCUSED ON AI / DATA CENTERS I THINK SMCI FITS INTO THIS MOLD PRETTY WELL. THE CAIN IS LOADED TO THE GILLS WITH THE CALL SIDE SEEING BIDS OUT INTO THE 38C . THE ONE THING TO NOTE IS SINCE ITS OPEX THERE IS A LOT OF O.I HERE. WANT TO SEE IF THESE ARE BUYS OR SELLS INTO OPEN. IF BUYS THESE 33C SEEM INTERESTING TO ME . IF 30 HOLDS WOULD THINK 33-35 IS IN PLAY. MAIN THESIS HERE : SMCI builds the physical AI servers that hold NVIDIA GPUs. NVIDIA → GPUs SMCI → AI servers / racks AVGO / MRVL → networking chips TSM → manufacturing MU / Hynix → memory more GPU racks more liquid cooling more AI servers THAT IS THE STACK. SMCI A TOP WATCH INTO DAY 2 AS IT HAS BEEN COILED FOR MONTHS. A 30 HOLD OR BREAK OF HOD AND THIS CAN GET SOME LEGS IMO.
Win
▲ bull
+57.5%
109d
Mar 16
$CRWD
$CRWD Sideways action as it sits under the 200 day at 450 Looking to trade off this zone Push above and a nice flag break occurs into 463-470+ imo . Would use 465-470c most likely as it is a sleeping giant However, for downside if flag invalidates with the 200 rejecting there is not much below until 420 . Under that leaks into 408 or so. 420p if invalidation imo Still think cyber is interesting if next phase of war goes through the ether .
Live
▲ bull
-56.3%
110d
Mar 15
$CRWD
$PANW Not only held up well , but closed up 2% with an inside day while nq closed -1.7%. $CRWD also closed flat with an inside day today. It seems many thinking next leg of Warfare goes through the ether. Reminds me of the start of Russia / Ukraine war when cyber got bid up in a down tape. R/S is noteworthy ...never forget that. Keep these names close imo. Crwd easier to day trade / PANW easier to swing given the cheaper premiums. Trade vs the inside days imo . On crwd trade vs the 200 day at 447-450 zone imo. Sneaky idea similar to $MOS IMO.
Live
▲ bull
-56.2%
113d
Mar 12
$PANW
$PANW Not only held up well , but closed up 2% with an inside day while nq closed -1.7%. $CRWD also closed flat with an inside day today. It seems many thinking next leg of Warfare goes through the ether. Reminds me of the start of Russia / Ukraine war when cyber got bid up in a down tape. R/S is noteworthy ...never forget that. Keep these names close imo. Crwd easier to day trade / PANW easier to swing given the cheaper premiums. Trade vs the inside days imo . On crwd trade vs the 200 day at 447-450 zone imo. Sneaky idea similar to $MOS IMO.
Live
▲ bull
+109.4%
113d
Mar 12
$XLE
$XLE Well this seems to be a very interesting Flag . Looking to trade off 55 zone If war halts 55 breaks and room into 53-50 fast If this was indeed a tester as mentioned Flag remains true and 57-flag break in play Easier to trade then majority of oil names given premiums currently imo. Would monitor it into eow....
Loss
▼ bear
-11.8%
116d
Mar 9
$AAL
$AAL Travel remains weak as oil prices and war spike. $JETS gave up the 200 day earlier this week and now AAL is running into a huge zone from april of last year. If this zone breaks there is not much below until 10. 3/20 exp has seen vol and a cheaper play for downside imo as jet fuel prices have doubled. Worth watching imo
Live
▼ bear
-62.3%
117d
Mar 8
$MOS
$MOS MIDDLE EAST SHIPPING RISK → HIGHER ENERGY PRICES + TIGHTER FERTILIZER SUPPLY → HIGHER FERTILIZER PRICES AND STRONGER MARGINS. Watching with flow on $WEAT today (UNSULLIED cc) https://t.co/nizd7OSqFr
Live
▲ bull
-17.4%
120d
Mar 5
$WEAT
$MOS MIDDLE EAST SHIPPING RISK → HIGHER ENERGY PRICES + TIGHTER FERTILIZER SUPPLY → HIGHER FERTILIZER PRICES AND STRONGER MARGINS. Watching with flow on $WEAT today (UNSULLIED cc) https://t.co/nizd7OSqFr
Win
▲ bull
+14%
120d
Mar 5
$COST
$COST : IV FLUSH IDEA Implied +/- 2.37% , Currently flat EPS / REV sslight beats , Similar print to TGT/WMT Weekly is coiled after being sideways for the last month and building out a flag near 1k Idea : pivot 975 if 975 holds look up via 1000c for move into ylod and possible flag break into 1014 If 975 can not hold the 200 day is near 944 and 950p would be in play imo.
Win
▲ bull
+11.5%
120d
Mar 5
$PLTR
$PLTR A TOP WATCH FOR ME HEADING INTO THIS WEEK AFTER IRAN ATTACK. KNOWING WHAT WE KNOW NOW IT SEEMS LIKE THE BUY VOL / ACCUMULATION OVER THE LAST 8 TRADING DAYS + THE RELATIVE STRENGTH MAKES A LOT MORE SENSE. WHILE THE MARKETS HAVE SEEN 1-2% DOWN DAYS OVER THE LAST 2 SESSIONS PLTR HAS TRADED UP ALMOST 2.3% SINCE THE INDICES SOLD OFF. NOW IT IS TRYING TO BREAK OUT OF A WEDGE AND THE DAILY LOOKS TO BE HOLDING THAT MAJOR ZONE AT 125. IF YHOD CAN HOLD 145-148 CAN BE IN PLAY IMO.
Loss
▲ bull
-6.7%
124d
Mar 1
$PLTR
$PLTR One to watch into eow as it sits in this wedge with vol accumulating over the last 7 trading days. Also showed rel strength today as it closed up 1.3% in a down tape. Iran talks continue , Anthropic bowing out , and a similar look to nflx imo. Idea is to trade it vs the 137.50 spot (hod) If hod breaks 140c in play and they have a lot of vol If hod rej 130p back into the range.
Loss
▲ bull
-6.7%
126d
Feb 27
$ORCL
$ORCL Into NVDA er I don't mind watching orcl and those 150s they hammered today to the tune of 12.5k vol / 4.2k o.i I think they are banking on one of two things: ORCL being a primary cloud provider for NVIDIA's AI technology , and two software selloff being overblown (headline driven). If orcl wants to bounce it wouldn't be a bad spot after holding feb lows and the trend dating back to 10/22' Idea would be lod holds , reclaim 146 ,and look for 150c if vol stays there for possible sympathy trade into nvda print. (Or orcl just sucks and is useless since we can vibe code a new orcl)
Win
▲ bull
+70.4%
129d
Feb 24
$AMD
$AMD The gift that keeps giving . Closed right at 200 after consolidating all week while it rec The top of oct 2025 gap. With nvda er this week and it at a major psych level worth having eyes on imo. If 200-202 can hold and nvda moves higher should see a push back into er gap near 217 via 215c imo if 202 can not reclaim and 200 breaks ahead of nvda er not much until the 200 day and recent lows via 190p. Must watch into wed imo.
Live
▲ bull
+170.2%
131d
Feb 22
$GME
$GME With Ryan Cohen tweeting up a storm , Burry long , and an imminent move with the cash worth watching imo. Sitting right below the june 2025 Gap down and bouncing of the 200day If 200 day holds and news hits wire could see a push up into 25+ imo Hate to watch it but daily isn't horrible. March 20th expiration seems to be most active chain. 25 / 30c.
Win
▲ bull
+11.1%
135d
Feb 18
$BA
$BA : Playing into the Rotational trade via XLI here I think BA is a name to watch. The weekly is building out a 6 week flag vs the July 2025 highs at this 240 zone. Will look to trade vs this area; if rotation continues Could see 240 zone hold and a push up into 250-253 above imo. The chain for this week is lopsided via the call side. 250 strikes have most vol at 4.5k and 9k+ o.i Want to see if the vol flips to o.i. If they vol is buys (and o.i grows )think this could finally see that push up. Under 240 not very interested in upside here as 235-230 would be a quick move down.
Loss
▲ bull
-22.1%
138d
Feb 15
$AMD
$AMD 200 day bounce & Closed above that OCT gap. Last time Posted off this zone saw 9 green days in a row and a move into 268(ath) . We are now back at the bottom of the range. Looking to trade vs / off this 200-202 area once again. https://t.co/MkMZl2AxvE https://t.co/nnAJa8wREN
Live
▲ bull
+159.5%
145d
Feb 8
$KHC
$KHC: (PROBABLY STUPID) Beat down , downtrend, Berkshire rumors of selling their stake .....Should be very nasty. However, The consumer staples all showed amazing strength on friday and into eow even with markets volatility. For example , ko / pep / wmt / pg / tgt and more all put in some big moves off major zones and showed some rel strength imo. what interest me here on khc is the daily holding near covid lows from march 2020 , and it closing up 2.5% while indices closed red. Now the most interesting thing for me here is the atm calls for this week . The 24c saw 27.7k vol vs 706 o.i on friday and the rest of the chain is empty. Idea here is a possible bounce back into the 200 day if 23 holds. If 23 holds and the vol turns to o.i I will stab these as a bounce play in a strong sector.
Loss
▲ bull
-9.2%
152d
Feb 1
$OSCR
$OSCR: This could be a sleeper that gets hit by the following news, "trump admin proposing flat rates for medicare". after hours this shocked names like unh, hum, and cvs as they all fell 5-10%. oscr is not immune to this as they see a large % of rev from aca and medicare advantage plans. imo they are more exposed then most of these major names like unh and cvs but yet to falter. idea is to see if 15 holds or not. if 15 breaks daily bear flag plays out with room into 12.96 area. idea invalid above 16.44 (200 day)
Win
▼ bear
+30.9%
158d
Jan 26
$MP
$MP Hoping I am not to late to trade this as USAR news likely lifts the whole sector higher. However, If it can break recent highs near 71 I will see if I can trade it up into 77 or so. Note: When the MP government stake news hit in July, the stock ran from the 30s to the mid 40s and later continued to over 100. USAR could see a similar initial pop with the potential for follow through. Even if it is just a quick momentum trade within the sector getting on for one stop and off fast it is worth keeping on the radar in my opinion. "When the dog moves the tail wiggles"
Loss
▲ bull
-34.5%
159d
Jan 25
$AVGO
$AVGO Prettier similar setup to amd last week imo as it retest gap up from sept earnings. Looking to trade this vs the 330 zone If 330 holds back into ylod-354.51 If 330 can not hold the gap fill begins with 307 being 200 day and target below. That would be opposite of amd versus the gap. However, with markets weakness that could be fun to see / trade imo.
Win
▲ bull
+46.8%
163d
Jan 21
$MRK
$MRK Dow names performing well + healthcare looking good. Barring any iran news could be something to watch imo as it runs into lwh. Note : unsure why but 1/30/26' 113c have 26k o.i rest of chain is barren. Interested in this if ylod holds / flag tries to push up. https://t.co/01BzkZxTjw
Win
▲ bull
+11.8%
170d
Jan 14
$AFRM
$AFRM Weekly at inflection point as it sits between 80-85. 85 has been major overhead resistance since 22'. With Trump news coming out could see buy now pay later catch bids if actually goes into effect. If 80 holds or 85 breaks not much above until recent highs imo. https://t.co/q4LUpL1Ent https://t.co/hcqEW8jgb2
Loss
▲ bull
-48%
173d
Jan 11
$APLD
$APLD : A mid cap that fits into the a.i / data center theme well imo. Started The year off with a 14% day as it ran into the top of this wedge. Want to see if the 3+ month wedge finally gives or not into this 30 area. If breaks above 30 is first target and over that can get lose into 35-ath imo. Really pretty setup and one I don't mind being patient with / watching. Note it has 34% short float per finviz. https://t.co/tZ40SUTxOS
Loss
▲ bull
-26.9%
180d
Jan 4
$COIN
$COIN DO OR DIE IMO Sitting at recent lows / er gap up from May. 231 is spot to defend for a push up into the ema and above. However, if btc decides to work down into 80k I would think this breaks 231 pivot and flushes into that gap. Big spot and likely a viable trade soon.
Win
▼ bear
+39.6%
186d
Dec 29
$VALE
$VALE Something I am watching into that 1/16 opex date with copper pushing ath. If copper pushes through or gets love like slv after gc made that high could argue copper is silvers little brother here. in other words people who missed gold went silver, those who missed silver run to copper. 13.71 BREAKS AND ILL DABBLE. I know mainly iron but has copper division. FCX and others had strong moves friday this did not. 15c for jan opex is what id trade if copper breaks out personally. 149k o.i stashed there.
Win
▲ bull
+32.5%
187d
Dec 28
$BAC
$BAC Banks and bac in particular are interesting into eoy as many closed green on friday while markets came down 1-1.5%. BAC 2006 highs sit around 55 and bac closed right above it. Looking to trade versus that prev high If 55 can hold should see it creep through highs and can use the atm calls for a trade higher imo If ath rej and 55 breaks should be easy spot to trade versus for downside back into 54 with atm p rel strength on friday but need that high to hold for more.
Loss
▲ bull
-14.8%
201d
Dec 14
$TSLA
$TSLA Monthly building out well into fomc and cuts. Wonder if 450 holds can they get that push into recent highs-ath above or not? Pretty looking as of now. That changes if close under daily ema at 442 area imo. https://t.co/fZrIGPL8Pz
Loss
▲ bull
-24.6%
208d
Dec 7
$TSM
$TSM Interesting weekly as it sits at lwh and flagging. 12/19 Chain is the most interesting to me if they figure out tsm is the manufacture for $googl fabs (tpu's) if daily ema holds near 287 will look to trade this into eoy , 300-ath is above if ema holds imo. Food for thought , need headlines to circulate for idea to work and people to think critically on chain . Otherwise trading Taiwan stonks.
Win
▲ bull
+33.4%
215d
Nov 30
$AAPL
$AAPL Appears to be at inflection point here as we head into turkey day . Need ath to break without wicking back below imo to sustain this move up. https://t.co/2nG0pb8CLQ
Loss
▲ bull
-10.6%
221d
Nov 24
$AMD
$AMD After a nasty fade from ath it's now back at the gap form 10/6 on news. Looking to trade vs 200-lwl . If 200-lwl hold and market defends Thursdays lows could see this bid up off top of gap imo The more fun trade imo is break lwl , markets fade and it enters the gap with nothing below fro 25 points. If holds 210-215c imo if lwl break 185p become pretty fun Short week and vix up so could be difficult to trade in general.
Loss
▲ bull
-6.3%
222d
Nov 23
$XOM
$XOM Watching this daily as it sits at the top of this range it has been stuck in all year. Held the ema today , but oil names all rejected. Ide is to see if ylod holds or not at 116.6 if ylod holds will look to trade 1120c up into recent highs. If ylod breaks and oil names roll , 115p for backtest of breakout cvx, oxy , etc all had tough days but this daily is still pretty vs many names out there as of now imo.
Win
▲ bull
+46.7%
228d
Nov 17
$DIS
$DIS looking constructive into earnings as it tries to pop out of this wedge. Part of me wants to see 112 hold and possibly long into er and let the I.V push contracts higher to make free er trade. Other part of me says stay away since it has sucked to trade. https://t.co/hic3BkHhod
Loss
▲ bull
-11.2%
234d
Nov 11
$COIN
$COIN Into eow a top watch for me as btc sits right at 100k in a bear flag. Coin is at a massive support from june , and it seems like do or die imo. EOW makes this tradeable , and also helps gauge sentiment on spec / growth names imo If 290s break here 280-275p in play. Can also watch for a 300 rej for downside. If this massive support holds and btc defneds 300-310c work up imo for move into ylod. 290s hold and downside limited into eow. 300-ylod rej and offer possible short on backtest imo.
Win
▼ bear
+52.2%
239d
Nov 6
$UPS
$UPS Nice peg and still sitting in some c after initial move up from covid lows. Need the 200ma reclaimed around 100 or this loses its steam imo. 98 is wick down from two earnings ago , if that breaks should see 200ma reclaimed and a larger push up imo. If invalidates flag or breaks ema I will get out of position personally.
Win
▲ bull
+26.6%
243d
Nov 2
$OPEN
$OPEN Pains me to say it but daily looks good as this wedge develops. Also note the chain being lit up with the 8.5c standing out with 50k vol vs 15k o.i If the ema can hold around 7 or so would think the 8 weeks of consolidation could push it up into lwh and if breaks bigger move .
Win
▲ bull
+20.6%
243d
Nov 2
$SOFI
$SOFI IV FLUSH IDEA: IMPLIED 9.95% , CURRENTLY +3.5% EPS AND REV BEAT, FY GUIDE RAISED AND OVERALL SOLID REPORT AS IT SITS AT ATH IDEA HERE IS TO TRADE VS PREV ATH AT 30.36 IF PREV ATH HOLDS WILL LOOK TO TRADE THE 32 OR 35C UP . THESE SAW MOST VOL YDAY AND IF ATH HOLDS ON A BACKTEST THAT 32-35 AREA WILL MEET IMPLIED MOVE IF 30S BREAK ID THINK PUTS INTO 28 WORK BUT SOLID PRINT WORTH WATCHING FOR BACKTEST AND HOLD IMO.
Loss
▲ bull
-52.1%
248d
Oct 28
$IREN
$IREN Not a name I trade often , but the chain is lit up on the 65 and 70c. 65c : 9.29k vol vs 4.4k o.i 70c : 14.31k vol vs 5.1k o.i Daily is beautiful as the wedge broke and ema was reclaimed. If ema holds id think 68-74(ath) back in play. Also note SCTR score of 99.9 + data center company so watching close into nvda event.
Loss
▲ bull
-46.3%
250d
Oct 26
$PLTR
$PLTR: Convinced I need a doctor after staring at this 6 week flag building under ath. However, the daily ema is at 180.54 and ath right above at 189s. if the ema can hold into fomc 7 growth names leading the charge could make sense to see pltr wake up. 180 holds and I think the ath test comes finally , a break puts it into the 200 area imo. pretty chart, lot of patience has been used here.
Loss
▲ bull
-16.1%
250d
Oct 26
$AMD
$AMD Inside day right under highs into cpi + intc up ah on er. Looking to trade vs the inside day highs and 8ema at 230 If 230 holds looking to trade this up using the 240-245c A bad cpi reaction and likely retest 8ema at 230. So other side of coin is inside day rej and use that-ath as stop with 230p as target for ema. Friday premiums make this juicy imo after 3 weeks up here post news
Loss
▲ bull
-18.7%
253d
Oct 23
$TSLA
$TSLA Weekly at very interesting area. Prev ath below at 413 holding and 450 rejecting above. See how this cpi print and nov 1 meeting with china goes for better read. However, would not mind a 450 break and push into ath above as a shareholder. https://t.co/JFwpAf0Oif
Loss
▲ bull
-11%
257d
Oct 19
$CVNA
$CVNA Watching into eow if regionals have issues. Also $ALLY er in morning. If ally buys loans from cvna want to see how the numbers look. "44% of Carvana's recent non-prime ABS deals have featured "deep subprime" FICO scores." Note they hit the 310p today exp friday If 350 is not reclaimed will see if lod breaks and the 320p become an option or not. Above 350 not interested in puts as of now If ally spooks me or regionals have issues ill look out for next opex p in nov.
Loss
▼ bear
-38.8%
260d
Oct 16
$DELL
$DELL Have not traded this in a while, lw popped on raising forecast and held 150/8ema . Will use 150 as my pivot . If holds expect top of flag . 150 breaks and ill ignore since better names for downside imo. https://t.co/gzP8GMPSgA
Loss
▲ bull
-27%
263d
Oct 13
$CRWV
$CRWV If market can cont. higher and chips keep it up worth watching imo 144 is weekly highs so want that to clear if looking for upside imo . 138.5 is spot to hold from yday hod. The 150c have my interest with 41k vol vs 11k 0.i Above weekly highs 150 is next major area
Loss
▲ bull
-53.9%
268d
Oct 8
$DKNG
$DKNG Lot of sell vol accumulating on this daily bear flag. Lot of other odds makers out there for betting now + some short reports sparking concerns. Worth watching incase 37.50 isnt reclaimed. Break below and should see 30 quick imo. https://t.co/6NtrQy3Kl8
Win
▼ bear
+15.3%
269d
Oct 7
$PLTR
$PLTR Pinned between lwh and the daily 8ema If it can break up wiggle room into ath above imo What do you think , Uptober ? https://t.co/C9Vb3qgTCL
Loss
▲ bull
-16.3%
275d
Oct 1
$AAPL
$AAPL 250 is the 8ema spot to hold lwh near 257.50 spot to break to push into ath Busy week for this to unfold https://t.co/7b7xAsiGVh https://t.co/NJqWh7kU1S
Win
▲ bull
+12.1%
278d
Sep 28
$AAPL
$AAPL Running into weekly highs / flagging. If this 257 area can break ath right there for the taking If weekly highs rej just work back into 250 Likely dictates next move on indices imo https://t.co/yyEtdFYPSX
Win
▲ bull
+11.5%
281d
Sep 25
$IWM
$IWM Into eow i'd rather trade this vs other indicies imo 244 is prev ath we have stalled out at back in nov 21 ' and nov 24'. Today we broke through before wicking back below which makes me question if this was a false break out or not If we do not reclaim 244 we likely see the 8ema near 241 and if that snaps bigger problems. Note : we are in an amazing uptrend and this run it hot theme has led iwm the second half of this year. Since aug lows we are up 30$ so likely to see the 8ema backtest and try to hold. if that is the case likely a relong for a push into new ath.
Loss
▲ bull
-6%
283d
Sep 23
$MU
$MU : IV FLUSH IDEA IMPLIED +/- 8.55% , CURRENTLY +2.5% EPS + REV BEAT REALLY SOLID Q ALL AROUND IMO. WANT TO USE 165 AS THE PIVOT , IF THIS CAN HOLD 175C WILL BE MY GO TO FOR A PUSH THROUGH ATH NEAR 171. IF 171 CAN NOT BREAK OR 165 GIVES ID USE 160P FOR DOWNSIDE BACK INTO THE 8EMA
Win
▲ bull
+177.8%
283d
Sep 23
$AI
$AI Looks similar to Snap from last week with the gap above , and the buy vol. accumulating. The question I have is how does the vol and o.i move into tomorrow. the 20c saw 50k vol and 40k+ o.i . Interested to see if these are closed positions or not. If not closed and not a pump fits the shitco theme , and has about 27% short on it. 18.82 is spot to break to work into the gap.
Loss
▲ bull
-58.1%
284d
Sep 22
$KVUE
$KVUE Downside if true. https://t.co/oUPn4SQGFe
Win
▼ bear
+16.9%
284d
Sep 22
$NET
$NET 220 (prev ath) is my pivot If this can hold id expect an attempt into 230 for break or at least a test of ath above. Pretty chart but low vol. on chain. https://t.co/599KKsnNgl
Loss
▲ bull
-29.1%
285d
Sep 21
$FDX
$FDX IV FLUSH IDEA: (WATCHING INTO OPEN) IMPLIED +/- 7% , CURRENTLY +.83% EPS AND REV BOTH BEAT SLIGHTLY . OVERNIGHT IT POPPED 5% , BUT CAME BACK DOWN AS THE FULL YEAR GUIDE WAS WEAK AND FORECASTED A FLAT YEAR AHEAD PIVOT 226 ( BOTTOM OF WEDGE) IF 226 CAN HOLD I WILL LOOK TO TRADE THIS UP INTO 231 AND ABOVE THIS 235 . FOR UPSIDE ID USE 235C IF 231 CAN NOT BREAK OR 226 BREAKS ID USE THE 220P FOR A MOVE DOWN
Win
▲ bull
+68.5%
287d
Sep 19
$TEM
$TEM Worth watching into fomc imo , ath and flagging into a cut. If reaction goes well could look for an ath break imo. https://t.co/MxdBHNdeHi
Win
▲ bull
+18.6%
290d
Sep 16
$AVGO
$AVGO Pretty daily after the peg setup pushed it into ath. interested to see how the vol and o.i sorts out into tuesday open. if 350 can hold would think ath gets tested and or broken through 350 is my pivot here. breaks below and can unwind into 330 imo. https://t.co/rxlQA6Gd7u
Win
▲ bull
+13.6%
291d
Sep 15
$ARKK
$ARKK TSLA breaking out ahead of fomc and COIN waking up . If this can break recent highs it could be a fun trade imo tsla = cuts good for growth coin = btc up and dxy struggles cont. Worth having eyes on still imo. o.i on 80c is still there. https://t.co/li0Lzea2A0 https://t.co/na3Sv1hMwn
Win
▲ bull
+17.8%
292d
Sep 14
$ARKK
$ARKK With fomc next week and this big wedge building think it is worth watching into fed cuts. 73.86 spot to hold for a push up into 79.15+ imo https://t.co/b6YrPzKFIG
Win
▲ bull
+22.8%
299d
Sep 7
$SNOW
$SNOW Nice peg setup will watch this into eow. If 228-230 can hold it could offer a trade up. The 240c have 8k+ vol and 5k o.i will see how that translates. Top of er is near 250 they have vol up there but id be looking for a smaller move . Could take a few days if decides to play out imo.
Loss
▲ bull
-48.2%
304d
Sep 2
$UNH
$UNH + $ABBV 311 is the spot to push. Could just tease us again , but looks constructive off the 8ema / 300 area If it can break recent highs near 318s likely imo. Over that can get dragged up imo. Other healthcare names like abbv also look great . Would like to see if 210 can hold. 7k o.i on 220c for sept 19th. That has my interest. Harder name to trade w low vol. Wouldnt mind the sector to cont. and milk some of these moves.
Win
▲ bull
+20.1%
305d
Sep 1
$ABBV
$UNH + $ABBV 311 is the spot to push. Could just tease us again , but looks constructive off the 8ema / 300 area If it can break recent highs near 318s likely imo. Over that can get dragged up imo. Other healthcare names like abbv also look great . Would like to see if 210 can hold. 7k o.i on 220c for sept 19th. That has my interest. Harder name to trade w low vol. Wouldnt mind the sector to cont. and milk some of these moves.
Win
▲ bull
+16.2%
305d
Sep 1
$KWEB
$KWEB China names looking pretty good into eoy with the 90 pause coming up into nov worth having eyes on imo. A lot of vol and o.i on kweb and fxi . Easier to trade vs individual names imo. If 37/8ema can hold could be looking for a move into mid 40s. China is tricky but names like futu and baba could make it easier .
Win
▲ bull
+12.5%
305d
Sep 1
$NVDA
$NVDA : IV FLUSH IDEA (WILL UPDATE IN AM) IMPLIED 6% , CURRENTLY -3% EPS/REV SLIGHT BEATS ( UNDERWHELMING ) , CHINA ISSUES CONT. , AND BIG BUYBACKS PIVOT 175 IF 175 CAN HOLD THE TRADE WILL BE UP USING THE 180C IMO INTO THAT WEEKLY-ATH ABOVE IF 175 BREAKS RUN RISK OF 8EMA BREAK ALSO AND A PUSH LOWER AND 170P CAN WORK. KEEP IN MIND PRIO ER HAVE HAD THESE OPEN POPS ON NVDA BEFORE FADING LOWER. IF ES / NQ CAN NOT GET OVER WEEKLY/ATH THIS COULD CAUSE ISSUES ESPECIALLY IF NVDA BREAKS 175.
Win
▲ bull
+14.9%
309d
Aug 28
$SMCI
$CRWV + $SMCI With NVDA earnings this week I think its time to watch some of their big partners again after they have been beaten up. Both names look horrible on the daily but into earnings I want to see how they move. For crwv id like to see if it wants to work back into the 100 area or not. Must hold 90 and work above 100 for sympathy trade imo. Fits growth sector theme for sept cut + nvda er SMCI nasty daily but back above 40 / under the 8ema. If nvda print goes well could see some action here back up into mid 40s imo. Needs 8ema reclaim and 40 hold or invalid imo. Closer to nvda er will know more if chose to swing into event or not.
Win
▲ bull
+33.7%
313d
Aug 24
$CRWV
$CRWV + $SMCI With NVDA earnings this week I think its time to watch some of their big partners again after they have been beaten up. Both names look horrible on the daily but into earnings I want to see how they move. For crwv id like to see if it wants to work back into the 100 area or not. Must hold 90 and work above 100 for sympathy trade imo. Fits growth sector theme for sept cut + nvda er SMCI nasty daily but back above 40 / under the 8ema. If nvda print goes well could see some action here back up into mid 40s imo. Needs 8ema reclaim and 40 hold or invalid imo. Closer to nvda er will know more if chose to swing into event or not.
Win
▲ bull
+52.2%
313d
Aug 24
$IBM
$IBM Not a pretty daily as it bear flags off the 8ema . I noticed concerns today related to ai as we saw meta / nvda / pltr etc mention issue the last week or so, and really lead todays sell off. If concerns grow I could names like ibm and others get hit as they are just as big of players imo. If daily 8ema is not reclaimed I could see this back near 233-230 if flag breaks down. 242 invalidates downside idea here (No position currently) NOTICED WEIRD VOL VS OI for the sept cons (Will dive deeper into this.) 237.5 P , VOL 1.09K / O.I 1 227.5 P , VOL 1.06K / O.I 1 CALL SIDE LOOKS EMPTY .
Loss
▼ bear
-31.3%
318d
Aug 19
$HOOD
$HOOD Nice buy vol accumulating over the last 3 days or so. Today it came down and held the 8ema and 110 are very well. If this flag can pop id expect ath tested and if breaks 120+ Has a nice look to it imo. Want 111.88 to hold at the worst, and at best the 114 are where the wedge is for a better backtest imo.
Win
▲ bull
+32.6%
319d
Aug 18
$AMD
$AMD PIVOT 175 If holds could look to trade the 180s up into or through weekly highs on a wedge break The 8ema is below at 172 , if that cant hold the other side of this trade is 170 or 165p down if market struggles into ath. imo https://t.co/QIfR8XTEVj
Win
▲ bull
+51.1%
325d
Aug 12
$META
$META: Really nice set up as it consolidates in this peg from a good quarter. Will not take eyes off this , need the 8ema to hold near 756 or risk downside via invalidation. QQQ testing ath , and this has that look imo. If the ema holds id think 784 ( ath ) is tested again. Risk is the 8ema....must hold or change of plans imo.
Loss
▲ bull
-23.4%
327d
Aug 10
$SBET
$SBET BMNR left the station , but sbet is also a sneaky ETH play as it holds between 400-450k eth. This week it saw a lot of buy vol accumulating ( weekly is most buy vol since inception) as eth pushed new ath it could be worth watching. 28.76 is the gap. If the 8ema holds near 22 id think 25-gap fill happens quickly here. Would use the 25 or 30c for a trade up here. For downside I think there are better names to trade Keep in mind this is a dog water stock.
Live
▲ bull
-78.4%
327d
Aug 10
$META
$META PEG set up right under ath is something to watch close into eow imo If es can push this 6373 area and take out 6400 liq could see other faang names try to wake up and invalidate the bear flag on the daily. Will keep close incase it moves. Could wait until fri to have fun here .
Loss
▲ bull
-23.6%
331d
Aug 6
$HOOD
$HOOD IV FLUSH IDEA IMPLIED +/- 7.55 , CURRENTLY -1.5% DOUBLE BEAT DAILY FLAG + INSIDE DAY. WILL LOOK FOR 107 TO BREAK FOR 110C ABOVE. IF IT BREAKS YHOD ID THINK 110-113(ATH) IS ABOVE IF YHOD CAN NOT BREAK ID TARGET THE 8EMA NEAR 102 , BUT 100 WOULD BE A MAGNET IMO AND 100P WOULD BE EASIER TRADE FOR DOWNSIDE. WILL FOLLOW THE VOL ON LOWER TIME FRAMES AS USUAL
Loss
▼ bear
-47.9%
337d
Jul 31
$PLTR
$PLTR Double inside day flagging off the 8ema under ath Worth having on radar. 160-ATH break and can use 165c up imo ATH rej or inside day break down and the 8ema is 155 so would target that via 155p Prefer the break higher if I get in personally. https://t.co/QeLx0ZfChC
Win
▲ bull
+30.8%
337d
Jul 31
$SMCI
$SMCI Lot of vol accumulating here as it tries to play catch up to its peers . 55 is the pivot. 55 break and can get fun above imo 55 rej and back to the 50 spot until one gives. Pretty setup imo https://t.co/1LsHUNsC2U
Loss
▲ bull
-26.5%
341d
Jul 27
$IONQ
$IONQ : Trapped in this massive candle from MAY 22nd , want to keep this close until wedge breaks. Id assume explosive move when happens. 40-42 want to hold or 200ma can happen fast if wedge breaks up 48 pop and 50-54 above Waiting game it seems. https://t.co/TeG8VPZBXj
Win
▲ bull
+90.2%
341d
Jul 27
$AAPL
$AAPL Inside day ahead of googl / tsla er. Back at this 214 area as it rides back into the top of the wedge from april lows. Can it finally move up if tech er push us higher? 222 is the 200ma. Would become a magnet on a break imo. https://t.co/DGkxyvNRXj
Win
▲ bull
+33.8%
346d
Jul 22
$PYPL
$PYPL Feels somewhat nasty watching this again , however vol is accumulating and the trend from april lows has defended. If SOFI . XYZ can keep pushing why cant pypl work up into the 200ma near 77? Upside is the 200ma and if breaks will look for mid 80s Downside comes if 200ma rej and sends us back into the trend near 70 . Watching 77-80c up / 70p below will trade vs 75 area.
Loss
▲ bull
-47.2%
348d
Jul 20
$NFLX
$NFLX IV FLUSH IDEA : IMPLIED 5.3% , CURRENTLY -2.5% EPS BEAT / REV SLIGHT BEAT / RAISED GUIDE FCF MISSED GUIDE BY 8% THAT WAS WORST PART OF PRINT IMO PIVOT 1230 IF 1230 CAN HOLD I WILL LOOK TO TRADE THE 1250-1275C UP, YHOD WAS 1277 AND IF IT CAN HOLD ID EXPECT TO TRADE THESE IN THE RANGE OF 3/4 PER ON THE 1250S OR .7/1.00 ON 1275 IF 1230 BREAKS 1200P MAKE SENSE IMO , 1211 WAS THE PREV ATH AND WOULD BE FIRST STOP DOWN WITH 1200-1181 BELOW. 1181 IS THE WICK FROM JUNE 10TH. AS ALWAYS FOLLOW THE VOL. AND DONT JUMP THE GUN IMO.
Loss
▲ bull
-37.3%
350d
Jul 18
$IWM
$IWM : Hard to ignore after it has led spy / qqq the last week or so higher. $SPY / $QQQ Closed red with NVDA up 4 and aapl up 1. Very unusual and only has happened a few times since 1971 to this extent. So the run it hot theme and growth led us back up the last few weeks and today closed down about 2% while spy / qqq closed slightly lower. I will watch this trendline and 220 area above to make any decision , but a break here and 215p can work for the 200ma. Under the 200ma gets nasty Other side of that coin is btd market and trendline holds, 220 reclaim , and 225 is back in play. 220-225c work in this bounce scenario imo
Win
▲ bull
+14.7%
353d
Jul 15
$AMZN
$AMZN Back at this 225 area / top of the flag again. With tech at ath and cpi this week I wouldn't mind seeing how these amzn prime day numbers look. 225 IS THE PIVOT If breaks 228-230s fast imo at 230c can work If prime day numbers down 225 rej we see 8ema and not much below until 212 or so imo The thing that I noticed is prime day was 4 days this year vs 2 in prior years. So the narrative of " sales down 41% " on prime day can be misleading. Now if numbers down y/y with twice the time that is not good for amzn , and imo even worse for the market because consumers are hurting more than described .
Loss
▼ bear
-12.9%
355d
Jul 13
$HD
$HD As we sit at ath on spy / qqq I thought id look at the rrg and see if money is moving anywhere surprising. I didn't find anything shocking , but I did notice XLY improving and after looking through some names HD stood out. If we some names besides tech for this next leg up it could be banks w er this week , but it could also be other discretionary names such as hd. 372.50 is a huge area here , and with the 8ema below now any bid above 372 opens the door towards 380-200ma at 386 imo. if 372.5 can not break well this drops back to the 8ema and under that 360 or so imo 372.50 is the pivot for me
Win
▲ bull
+15.1%
355d
Jul 13
$META
$META INTO EOW WITH NQ RIGHT UNDER ATH AND FLAGGING WE NEED SOMETHING NOT NAMED NVDA TO WORK HIGHER IN TECH. META LIKES EOW SO MAYBE WATCH THIS IF IT CAN HOLD THE 8EMA. UPSIDE IS HOD-PREV ATH AROUND 740. BETTER DOWNSIDE NAMES IMO. https://t.co/tGNM5Vz5wY
Loss
▲ bull
-18.9%
358d
Jul 10
$RBLX
$RBLX Inside day sitting right under prev ath , and recent highs. Ill look to trade this 105 into eow. If 105 breaks id think 108-110 is above and 110c can work If 105 (prev ath ) rej , 100p for the inevitable backtest iwm / growth names have been hot so will watch the names that tend to work well while we run it hot.
Win
▲ bull
+34.9%
360d
Jul 8
$COIN
$COIN WANT TO SEE IF 350 / 8EMA CAN HOLD + DOES BTC PUSH THAT 110-ATH AREA AGAIN IN WAKE OF BBB ? IF 350/8EMA CAN HOLD ANOTHER PUSH INTO 360S-371 IS ABOVE IMO 350/8EMA BREAK AND WE HAVE A NASTY BULL FLAG INVALIDATION AFTER A MASSIVE MOVE HIGHER. WORTH HAVING EYES ON IMO. https://t.co/mxIoAPstNW https://t.co/2PYnujDwfV
Loss
▲ bull
-60.3%
362d
Jul 6
$AMZN
$AMZN Looked like one of the best faang names today as it closed slightly green. The 8ema bounced and the 225s got hit. Will look to trade this vs 220 into eow. In a perfect world ahead of prime day it consolidates / flags up here for pos break into 225+ If weekly highs cant break 217 would be the 8ema and backtest. Under that gets nasty imo Area we traded / chopped in all of dec -jan before making a move , so this is familiar territory.
Win
▲ bull
+15.2%
367d
Jul 1
$APPL
$APPL See how wwdc goes this week , sitting right above 200 in a rising wedge. Wedges can play out to either side and some flow suggest 210-215 is possible. The 214 area is start of the gap from sell this year. For upside need 200 to hold and a move through 205 or so. If 200 breaks 196 comes fast and under that it gets pretty nasty imo Worth keep eyes on. If aapl can not contribute to this rally Im unsure on how we get to or though ath on $SPY / $QQQ BIG WEEK IMO.
Win
▲ bull
+40.6%
390d
Jun 8
$UBER
$UBER Worth watching ahead of $TSLA robo taxi presentation. If investors think delayed or out of reach again this could be something that benefits. Daily is setting up but needs 87 to break for a move up imo. Other side of trade is Elon shocks the world (tough ask) , and this breaks the ema and works into 80 again Last robo taxi event led to a 9% sell off on tsla as investors feared it was to far away and out of reach.
Win
▲ bull
+16.9%
390d
Jun 8
