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@rationaletrade
@rationaletrade
VERIFIED
Roy Gulluoglu
·
1.5K
followers
+ Follow
Watchlist
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Breakout
Swing trader
Chart patterns
Multi-asset
Tech
When right vs when wrong
Average return when a call wins vs loses — and how long each takes.
When right
+64%
peaks in
~128d
·
85
wins
When wrong
-33%
fades in
~111d
·
102
losses
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post and how it stacked up against his usual.
All
100
Wins
26
Losses
56
Live
18
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$IBKR
$IBKR - A textbook pyramiding example. Entry 1: Low-risk entry before the breakout Entry 2: Breakout entry Entry 3: Pullback to short-term moving averages https://t.co/eADJvUoCyy
Live
▲ bull
+8.4%
46d
May 18
$RNG
$RNG - The attached chart is on the weekly timeframe. On the daily chart, a gap-up candle acted as a catalyst, driving a breakout from a multi-year rectangle pattern and confirming a bullish reversal after the prior downtrend. https://t.co/W0wIfNFq0B https://t.co/3iBbmiLwxZ
Live
▲ bull
-8.9%
63d
May 1
$USDJPY
Monthly chart of $USDJPY clearly showing the importance of 160 level. https://t.co/UOe7miAumZ
Live
▲ bull
+1%
65d
Apr 29
$HPE
$HPE from the latest Trade Ideas Equities report >> https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/n1Pbmj9ITc https://t.co/wSJeOJrYxe
Live
▲ bull
+53.3%
73d
Apr 21
$ACLS
$ACLS https://t.co/ozlvs882kp
Live
▲ bull
+33.9%
73d
Apr 21
$TSLA
For those looking to stay market neutral while expressing a view on company divergence within the EV sector, the $TSLA / $LCID ratio was a compelling example of how this approach can play out. The ratio broke out of a well-defined rectangle base and followed through decisively, underpinned by a clear fundamental divergence. Tesla continued to build scale across vehicles, energy storage, and autonomous driving. Lucid remained a pre-scale manufacturer with persistent cash burn and continued reliance on external capital injections.The gap in business quality between the two did the rest. #TSLA #LCID #PairTrade #MarketNeutral #EVSector #RelativeStrength
Live
▲ bull
+8.4%
74d
Apr 20
$TUR
$TUR - REMINDER https://t.co/nRye3Xe6vw https://t.co/fbBFw8mB1E
Live
▼ bear
+8.6%
77d
Apr 17
$CAVA
$CAVA https://t.co/384H8VZkwb
Loss
▲ bull
-21.8%
78d
Apr 16
$JPY
$JPY weakness against $GBP, $EUR, $CHF and $MXN. Different pairs. Same message: $JPY is the weak leg. Policy mix + negative real rates: -> Policy mix → "Responsible Proactive" fiscal + still not restrictive enough monetary policy from Bank of Japan -> Real rates → hikes are too slow, inflation-adjusted returns remain unattractive Result: Capital continues to leave JPY. #JPY #Forex #FX #Macro #MacroTrading #CurrencyMarkets #CentralBanks #BoJ #MonetaryPolicy #FiscalPolicy #RealRates #CarryTrade #CapitalFlows #GlobalMacro #RiskSentiment #TradingView #MarketStructure #IntermarketAnalysis
Live
▼ bear
-7.4%
79d
Apr 15
$VLUE
$VLUE / $SPY ratio is breaking to new highs, with value outperforming the S&P 500 consistently since August 2025. Two takeaways. Sector rotation is actively underway. And risk-off sentiment has not been fully unwound despite the recent market bounce. #VLUE #SPY #SectorRotation #RiskOff #MarketSentiment
Live
▲ bull
+28.9%
84d
Apr 10
$CRUS
$CRUS https://t.co/nZU1Aqlr5I https://t.co/ofHzCEyNd7
Live
▲ bull
-8.3%
85d
Apr 9
$BWXT
$BWXT https://t.co/NUP9ycvDRv https://t.co/wrJDSd6mDK
Live
▲ bull
-16.8%
85d
Apr 9
$TSLA
The $TSLA / $MAGS ratio has been forming a descending triangle since February, with a flat support level around 6.30. The ratio has now broken below that support, a development that points to continued underperformance of $TSLA relative to the broader MAG7 group. #TSLA #MAG7 #RelativeStrength #TechnicalAnalysis #Equities
Live
▼ bear
-22.7%
87d
Apr 7
$MOO
$MOO, the VanEck Agribusiness ETF, is forming a double bottom pattern, consistent with the textbook example from William O'Neil. The current political environment adds further weight to the bullish case. Ongoing uncertainties of the Strait of Hormuz would significantly disrupt global supply chains, with agricultural commodities among the most vulnerable to such a shock. #MOO #Agribusiness #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleBottom #Hormuz #SupplyShock #MacroTrade #ETF
Live
▲ bull
-7.1%
89d
Apr 5
$APA
$APA https://t.co/qmgnzSNpyb https://t.co/zEudnXk7ff
Live
▼ bear
+23.7%
92d
Apr 2
$SU
$SU > https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/AGfo8f7qFp https://t.co/eqOmWnvDbU
Live
▲ bull
-18.2%
92d
Apr 2
$OSW
$OSW https://t.co/HWPvsSrLJW https://t.co/Pc00Dyb5PL
Live
▲ bull
+20.1%
93d
Apr 1
$BTC
Is $BTC following the same playbook as the 2021-2022 bear cycle? Zooming out on the weekly chart, the structure is tracking almost identically. If history rhymes, first key level to watch is $50K that's where the horizontal support aligns. #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets https://t.co/mmIAt9XW96
Loss
▼ bear
-19.4%
99d
Mar 26
$CL_F
$CL_F - Crude Oil futures forming H&S bottom formation, with a resistance at 66.5. The current price action had begun after a confirmed breakout above the 62.3 resistance level of the prior double-bottom pattern. #crudeoil #Commodities #FuturesMarket https://t.co/9rGqywry2p
Win
▲ bull
+70%
134d
Feb 19
$EURGBP
$EURGBP https://t.co/rAIsBJn8gT https://t.co/gTT3iWpVJB
Loss
▼ bear
-1.3%
151d
Feb 2
$PGJ
$PGJ - Golden Dragon China ETF: 4-years-long rectangle chart pattern acting as a bullish reversal after a downtrend. Find out more > https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/SmGE3jqMLT
Loss
▲ bull
-16.1%
158d
Jan 26
$UAN
$UAN https://t.co/RP4oTQdyaG
Win
▲ bull
+19.6%
162d
Jan 22
$FTAI
$FTAI https://t.co/6t0TTvWVFW
Loss
▲ bull
-27.3%
162d
Jan 22
$BCO
$BCO https://t.co/ndWXw07MjJ
Loss
▲ bull
-22.1%
162d
Jan 22
$ALRS
$ALRS https://t.co/TpiIP5zIoH
Win
▲ bull
+5%
162d
Jan 22
$TUR
$TUR - The iShares MSCI Turkey ETF monthly chart is starting to shape a potential H&S bottom. If the structure continues to develop, the upside toward the major resistance implies roughly 27.5% potential. #bist100 #BIST30 #BİST50 https://t.co/KiEnXUjuqW
Win
▲ bull
+21.4%
181d
Jan 3
$ATRC
New Equities Trade Ideas report is out. Setups I’m watching: 👉 $PEG, $FUTU — potential downside if ranges resolve lower 👉 $BDX, $ATRC — long bases tightening near trigger levels https://t.co/MxG0NRCEJM
Live
▲ bull
-26.3%
188d
Dec 27
$BDX
New Equities Trade Ideas report is out. Setups I’m watching: 👉 $PEG, $FUTU — potential downside if ranges resolve lower 👉 $BDX, $ATRC — long bases tightening near trigger levels https://t.co/MxG0NRCEJM
Win
▲ bull
+20.1%
188d
Dec 27
$PEG
New Equities Trade Ideas report is out. Setups I’m watching: 👉 $PEG, $FUTU — potential downside if ranges resolve lower 👉 $BDX, $ATRC — long bases tightening near trigger levels https://t.co/MxG0NRCEJM
Loss
▼ bear
-8.2%
188d
Dec 27
$FUTU
New Equities Trade Ideas report is out. Setups I’m watching: 👉 $PEG, $FUTU — potential downside if ranges resolve lower 👉 $BDX, $ATRC — long bases tightening near trigger levels https://t.co/MxG0NRCEJM
Live
▼ bear
+38.5%
188d
Dec 27
$XLP
New FX–Futures–ETF–Crypto report is out: 3 focused trade ideas • XLP: 15-month rectangle on the edge of breaking. Staples still can’t catch a bid vs. AI/tech. • NEAR: 8-month range + clear slowdown in user activity, transactions, and TVL. • RC1! (Robusta): Symmetrical triangle + Brazil’s supply surge + tariff shift. If you want the full RATIONALE behind each setup, here’s the report 👇 🔗https://t.co/boqN3hy66E #TradeIdeas #Macro #Futures #FX #Crypto #Charts
Loss
▼ bear
-15.1%
212d
Dec 3
$NEAR
New FX–Futures–ETF–Crypto report is out: 3 focused trade ideas • XLP: 15-month rectangle on the edge of breaking. Staples still can’t catch a bid vs. AI/tech. • NEAR: 8-month range + clear slowdown in user activity, transactions, and TVL. • RC1! (Robusta): Symmetrical triangle + Brazil’s supply surge + tariff shift. If you want the full RATIONALE behind each setup, here’s the report 👇 🔗https://t.co/boqN3hy66E #TradeIdeas #Macro #Futures #FX #Crypto #Charts
Loss
▼ bear
-1.2%
212d
Dec 3
$QCOM
$QCOM breaking out of a year long base! https://t.co/0KzTJK2nja
Loss
▲ bull
-33.1%
249d
Oct 27
$BTC
On the weekly Bitcoin chart, the primary uptrend defined by the diagonal line remains intact. I’m watching the 109K level as key horizontal support. A weekly close above it would support the bullish outlook. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CryptoTrading #BTCUSD #CryptoMarkets #TradingView
Loss
▲ bull
-41.5%
258d
Oct 18
$CRWD
$CRWD $PATH - Breakout attempts! https://t.co/VEjptCneSG
Win
▲ bull
+53.4%
268d
Oct 8
$PATH
$CRWD $PATH - Breakout attempts! https://t.co/VEjptCneSG
Loss
▲ bull
-18.3%
268d
Oct 8
$XRP
$XRP showing a 29-week Cup & Handle pattern forming on the weekly chart! 1)The Cup part is split into two sections, marked by vertical lines. Aligning price and volume direction is an indication of a healthy setup. 2)The Handle hasn’t fully formed yet, but decreasing volume is a positive signal. 3)This pattern comes after a significant uptrend, a key feature of Cup & Handle setups. 4)Now it's time to expect a breakout with high volume following the low volume. Stay tuned for this setup! #XRP #Ripple #XRPCommunity #XRPHolders
Loss
▲ bull
-45%
329d
Aug 8
$META
$META weekly - Potential high volume breakout from a cup & handle chart pattern. #SPY $spy https://t.co/lGyNG1PG5L
Loss
▲ bull
-21.4%
336d
Aug 1
$NVO
#novonordisk $NOVO $NVO- A breakdown below the lower boundary of the parallel channel in the monthly chart! https://t.co/PbmyrpegtB
Loss
▼ bear
-25%
338d
Jul 30
$NVO
#novonordisk - A breakdown below the lower boundary of the parallel channel in the monthly chart! https://t.co/isVACzU5dn
Loss
▼ bear
-25%
338d
Jul 30
$BNB
Guess who's back again :)) - @binance #BNBUSDT #Binance https://t.co/eqmIGHNSV3 https://t.co/2SgxOiZ0hV
Win
▲ bull
+70.9%
347d
Jul 21
$MSFT
$MSFT - A textbook example of old resistance turning into new support. https://t.co/N0aVGgMNbB
Loss
▲ bull
-26.8%
374d
Jun 24
$OKLO
$OKLO https://t.co/vNFdnV9FCQ
Win
▲ bull
+173.5%
383d
Jun 15
$CAH
$CAH 👉 https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/p7TpBl1JZA
Win
▲ bull
+15.5%
428d
May 1
$CL_F
$CL_F - Oil to 50$? #Commodities https://t.co/gph1HcgnqR https://t.co/s18ULqOnhs
Loss
▼ bear
-26.8%
428d
May 1
$NKN
#Nknusdt https://t.co/B4hBHrD0CT
Win
▼ bear
+82.5%
437d
Apr 22
$XRP
#XRPUSDT #XRP https://t.co/p1jyuzxUlf https://t.co/AZ8sEKQOtg
Loss
▼ bear
-25.4%
456d
Apr 3
$EWJV
$EWJV - Japan value stocks are getting attention now, but the charts were already signaling the opportunity earlier. https://t.co/AZrZjPP9ms Subscribe to @rationaletrade to stay ahead! #Investing #Markets https://t.co/XTFetmHrwk
Loss
▲ bull
-14.1%
466d
Mar 24
$EWJV
$EWJV - Japan value stocks are getting attention now, but the charts were already signaling the opportunity earlier. A good reminder that price action often leads the story. 📊 https://t.co/AZrZjPP9ms Subscribe to @rationaletrade to stay ahead! #Investing #Markets https://t.co/HidoCjHr4Q
Loss
▲ bull
-14.1%
466d
Mar 24
$EWJV
$EWJV - Japan value stocks are getting attention now, but the charts were already signaling the opportunity earlier. A good reminder that price action often leads the story. 📊 Subscribe to @rationaletrade to stay ahead: https://t.co/AZrZjPP9ms #Investing #Markets https://t.co/AmWHen7ghy
Loss
▲ bull
-14.1%
466d
Mar 24
$EWJV
$EWJV - Japan value stocks are getting attention now, but the charts were already signaling the opportunity earlier. A good reminder that price action often leads the story. 📊 Subscribe to Rationale to stay ahead: https://t.co/FzBZGI5oDM #Investing #Markets https://t.co/paMPB3ddpa
Loss
▲ bull
-14.1%
466d
Mar 24
$GC
#GOLD 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/O0xtGFZTmW
Win
▲ bull
+77.3%
473d
Mar 17
$BIST
What might push #BIST higher? #xbank - H&S continuation chart pattern! #bist100 #BIST1O0 #BIST50 https://t.co/Djb9zYSSlz
Loss
▼ bear
-39.1%
478d
Mar 12
$BJ
$BJ - Another one! 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/7VqrTVlkoY
Loss
▲ bull
-21.7%
484d
Mar 6
$AZO
$AZO 🎯 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/9MwKyIQJCE https://t.co/M2mgxfUhVD
Win
▲ bull
+20.4%
484d
Mar 6
$DY
$DY 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/4ACv9b6AbZ
Win
▲ bull
+199.4%
484d
Mar 6
$UBER
$UBER tightening here https://t.co/vXE3zIaWWV
Loss
▲ bull
-13.8%
484d
Mar 6
$BR
$BR 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/gHZp37ZKZ6
Loss
▲ bull
-8.3%
484d
Mar 6
$ROL
$ROL 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/MzO06M9aIC
Win
▲ bull
+8.1%
484d
Mar 6
$GCT
$GCT 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/k1usCh6b88
Win
▼ bear
+25.9%
484d
Mar 6
$MDT
$MDT https://t.co/75f43Dza2U
Loss
▲ bull
-12.7%
484d
Mar 6
$QQQ
#QQQ #NASDAQ100 #Nasdaq https://t.co/H006oRDUJm
Loss
▲ bull
-18%
489d
Mar 1
$BTC
#BTC 👉https://t.co/yLH0zolnN9 https://t.co/7LVKbFJZI8
Loss
▲ bull
-9.6%
490d
Feb 28
$PENG
$PENG 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/VhLEp3LGEk
Loss
▲ bull
-34.6%
499d
Feb 19
$ALGM
$ALGM 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/wWJwNidxYq
Win
▲ bull
+2.2%
499d
Feb 19
$PENG
$PENG https://t.co/fNNgd3Nc0z https://t.co/7WTPYdsVSD
Loss
▲ bull
-34.7%
500d
Feb 18
$BNB
$BNB - Guess who`s back! https://t.co/Yhk32lyNbS https://t.co/UxiqZiEbGt
Loss
▲ bull
-20.4%
505d
Feb 13
$BTC
$BTC - A convincing daily close above 102,500 is still required to confirm the activation of the H&S top failure chart pattern. For details: https://t.co/IixtsF3LnK #Bitcoin https://t.co/eGLjIWx0sQ
Loss
▲ bull
-28.1%
528d
Jan 21
$BTC
$BTC - A convincing daily close above 102,500 is still required to confirm the activation of the Head and Shoulder top failure chart pattern. For details: https://t.co/IixtsF3LnK #Bitcoin https://t.co/0yQJHj0FSZ
Loss
▲ bull
-28.1%
528d
Jan 21
$BTC
$BTC - A convincing daily close above 102,500 is still required to confirm the activation of the Head and Shoulders failure chart pattern. For details: https://t.co/IixtsF3LnK #Bitcoin https://t.co/qdQ8iCdiJZ
Loss
▲ bull
-28.1%
528d
Jan 21
$BTC
$BTC - A convincing daily close above 102,500 is still required to confirm the activation of the Head and Shoulders continuation chart pattern. For details: https://t.co/IixtsF3LnK #Bitcoin https://t.co/70UuBRwocN
Loss
▲ bull
-28.1%
528d
Jan 21
$ALGO
$ALGO - Rejected from old resistance and new support. #Crypto #cryptocurrency https://t.co/A0sFJAaJLY
Loss
▼ bear
-19.7%
547d
Jan 2
$HRTG
- There is no clear chart pattern on $HRTG yet but, I really like to see such tightening in the price with a drying volume. - Fitting into my pre-breakout entry rules. The pre-breakout entries allow me to enter breakout opportunities with some cushion. Of course with a proper risk management plan. - A potential price action would lead to establishing a broader base. - Also check out the Sales and EPS acceleration - increase in three consecutive months. #TradingTips
Win
▲ bull
+111.2%
570d
Dec 10
$BH
$BH - Clean ascending triangle chart pattern #trading 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/ICJARBz6lc
Loss
▲ bull
-9.8%
577d
Dec 3
$JBSS
$JBSS #BOVESPA 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/eG2ceBTPMR
Loss
▲ bull
-33.4%
577d
Dec 3
$JBSS
$JBSS #BOVESPA https://t.co/fGKUD1dwom
Loss
▲ bull
-33.4%
577d
Dec 3
$BH
$BH - Clean ascending triangle chart pattern #trading https://t.co/dubNPibeFZ
Loss
▲ bull
-9.8%
577d
Dec 3
$AAPL
$AAPL 👉 https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/PVaGHcumFj
Loss
▲ bull
-28%
578d
Dec 2
$AAPL
$AAPL https://t.co/ybIdUsQiVU
Loss
▲ bull
-28%
578d
Dec 2
$YELP
$YELP 👉https://t.co/egtmE7cQwM https://t.co/EabkDT5PdW
Loss
▲ bull
-15.5%
578d
Dec 2
$BRK.B
$BRK.B - Potential cup & handle ?? https://t.co/HAtwULvgk2
Loss
▲ bull
-7.3%
578d
Dec 2
$PVH
$PVH 👉https://t.co/egtmE7cQwM https://t.co/BkGv7QHocH
Loss
▲ bull
-45.5%
578d
Dec 2
$ANF
$ANF 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/UEE2m9M7QX
Loss
▲ bull
-57.4%
578d
Dec 2
$ANF
$ANF https://t.co/sDS7h6doye
Loss
▲ bull
-57.4%
578d
Dec 2
$ASML
$ASML stands out as a pivotal player in the evolving tech landscape. With its stock down ~40% from its all-time high, many are asking: Is this a buying opportunity? I’ve taken a closer look at ASML from a broader perspective using its monthly chart—attached here. The stock is approaching the lower boundary of its parallel channel in the monthly chart, which could present a potential buy zone. 📉📈 #ASML #StockAnalysis #TechInvesting
Loss
▲ bull
-16.1%
578d
Dec 2
$ALGO
$ALGO #crypto #Trading https://t.co/h3k4zvrtCo
Loss
▲ bull
-26.2%
581d
Nov 29
$XRT
$XRT 👉 https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/M111i79wIh https://t.co/bFt71IEgGp
Loss
▲ bull
-25.4%
585d
Nov 25
$YGG
$YGAUSD #Crypto #CryptoInvesting #cryptocurrency #cryptotrading https://t.co/UjWGrCmy0N
Win
▲ bull
+61%
589d
Nov 21
$PHA
$PHAUSD #Crypto #CryptoInvesting #cryptocurrency #cryptotrading https://t.co/5bPasyIveq
Loss
▲ bull
-6.4%
589d
Nov 21
$LIT
$LITUSD #Crypto #CryptoInvesting #cryptocurrency #cryptotrading https://t.co/hDXsiWc8PO
Loss
▲ bull
-30%
589d
Nov 21
$KDA
$KDAUSD #Crypto #CryptoInvesting #cryptocurrency #cryptotrading https://t.co/x0jcaOoihq
Win
▲ bull
+165.4%
589d
Nov 21
$HOT
$HOTUSD #Crypto #CryptoInvesting #cryptocurrency #cryptotrading https://t.co/f6YSlEdDvT
Win
▲ bull
+43.7%
589d
Nov 21
$KDA
$KDAUSD https://t.co/YMCSgcJcTr
Win
▲ bull
+165.4%
589d
Nov 21
$HOT
$HOTUSD https://t.co/GbN27naAJp
Win
▲ bull
+43.7%
589d
Nov 21
$ET
$ET - Rectangle chart patterns are the most reliable ones in my experience. #TradingTips #Trading https://t.co/Y9EVpr8gWc
Win
▲ bull
+17.4%
591d
Nov 19
$MAIN
$MAIN https://t.co/IngiwqPXil
Win
▲ bull
+20.8%
591d
Nov 19
$CLSK
$CLSK 👉https://t.co/yLH0zokPXB https://t.co/ZgsuukpNnT https://t.co/iVeFRXoHDT
Loss
▲ bull
-61.9%
598d
Nov 12
$CAH
$CAH 👉https://t.co/yLH0zolnN9 https://t.co/ZEA1PN8b3J https://t.co/UsFjoGgBc0
Win
▲ bull
+37.2%
598d
Nov 12
$ZS
$ZS 👉 https://t.co/yLH0zolnN9 https://t.co/IB9BIIUSH5 https://t.co/4zSYHkZ42o
Win
▲ bull
+60.9%
598d
Nov 12
$MCRI
$MCRI https://t.co/L8q9YoxOdr
Loss
▲ bull
-5.8%
600d
Nov 10
