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@wolfgangkasper
@wolfgangkasper
IN VALIDATION
Wolf Capital
·
46K
followers
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Fundamental research
Micro-cap
Space & Defense
High-conviction
Stocks
When right vs when wrong
Average return when a call wins vs loses — and how long each takes.
When right
+37%
peaks in
~51d
·
12
wins
When wrong
-25%
fades in
~76d
·
2
losses
Track record
Every scored call. Open any row to see the post and how it stacked up against his usual.
All
40
Wins
12
Losses
2
Live
26
Call
Post
State
Dir
Return
Days
Posted
▼
$INFQ
Grabbed some $INFQ calls here, seems interesting, small position.
Live
▲ bull
-25.7%
30d
Jun 3
$BRUN
This guy called $AAOI when it was trading under $40 Now he’s got his eyes on $BRUN I added 2500 shares https://t.co/SSWpYs6EUB
Live
▲ bull
-12.1%
30d
Jun 3
$AVGO
Yeah. I decided to add some spreads today before close. $498 afterhours! Excited for this ER $AVGO https://t.co/jMgMzMcpDS
Live
▲ bull
-22.8%
30d
Jun 3
$INTC
A lot of open interest / volume on $INTC 150c for mid june, grabbed a small position.
Live
▲ bull
+17.7%
31d
Jun 2
$INTC
A lot of open interest on $INTC 150c for mid june, grabbed a small position.
Live
▲ bull
+17.7%
31d
Jun 2
$FCEL
Here is the current position I am running on $FCEL for potentially 1600% gains. Bought these calls EOD yesterday for $1.04. Sold covered calls a little early for $.87. Ultimately this hedges my position and turns a $10,000 trade into $1,700 risked for a potential payout of >1600%, if $FCEL closes above $26 EOD this Friday! Told you I would take this trade!
Live
▲ bull
+29.4%
31d
Jun 2
$AVGO
Said I was going to do it and I did! Similar to my viral $DELL tweet, I am predicting a bullish outlook regarding $AVGO post ER. Looks to be $489 at this present moment. I decided to buy $5000 worth of calls early yesterday at open as I waited for a dip since it seemed to blow up premarket. Hedged those with covered calls, turning this into a spread (vertical) to reduce my capital exposure and theta decay incase of IV crush. This turned my $5000 initial trade, into a $300 trade, primarily because I waited for a push higher to lock in further OTM contracts to sell reducing cost for 4 calls to .75, or, $75 per contract. Keep in mind these contracts are all ITM now!! Now my maximum potential reward is 1500% if we stay above $482.5 after Friday close! This is just one strategy I like to do to reduce exposure and maximize an asymmetric reward. Follow me if you’d like to see more as I continue to seek opportunity in the market :) Any questions feel free to ask. What was one of your good trades? NFA -Wolf
Live
▲ bull
-23.2%
31d
Jun 2
$KEEL
Didn't get leaps, got Jan 27 $7 calls at open! $KEEL There is high asymmetry if they can leases signed. https://t.co/gTJFsGe09O https://t.co/S3jR9Oajgc
Live
▲ bull
-12.4%
31d
Jun 2
$FCEL
I actually took some $FCEL calls before close today https://t.co/oQvoErI7ag
Live
▲ bull
+49.6%
32d
Jun 1
$EOS.AX
If I can deduce $EOS.AX thesis into a few sentences, I would say this. There HAS to be multiple layers of protection against drones (C-UAS). Their weapon systems beat out the competition and their markets related to non-ITAR are early in emergence. Go ahead, ask Grok. I am looooong!
Live
▲ bull
-10.1%
33d
May 31
$AVGO
So you’re telling me $DELL crushed it after their earnings report MASSIVELY. Well now I have my eyes on $AVGO reporting June 3 after market close. I am not missing out on this. Custom ASICs + AI networking tailwinds. This is the pickaxe layer powering the same data center buildout. Intel/Dell strength = positive read-through for the ecosystem which is also why I like $MX But let’s take a look at how nicely setup $AVGO is. -Sitting right above the 200EMA? -Massive volume at market close? -Volume flow indicator is at the low? Yeah I’m getting calls next week. NFA
Live
▲ bull
-17.2%
34d
May 30
$EOS.AX
You know, it's starting to look like it. Non-ITAR is going to go a long way, nearly everything about this company is improving. $EOS.AX
Live
▲ bull
-10.1%
35d
May 29
$MX
$MX Not to mention it’s been under the radar, and it’s FRIDAY. https://t.co/jHeV0Y0GUB https://t.co/khHM4hBkdi
Live
▲ bull
-48.8%
35d
May 29
$EOS.AX
You know, I have been pounding the table about $EOS.AX AND GUESS what’s happening in the Australian exchange currently! https://t.co/uA7iTC9U5F https://t.co/ABx87E622f
Live
▲ bull
-10.1%
35d
May 29
$EOS.AX
Thank you @OptimusDelta for making this. $EOS.AX is my second largest position after $ASTS. Was able to add several thousand shares the other day thankfully. I see $EOS.AX really going to run past all time highs this summer, it just seems inevitable.. This is the type of conviction I’m talking about. Mind you, it’s the OTC ticker $EOPSF
Live
▲ bull
+4.5%
36d
May 28
$MX
Just started a position in $MX after reading this @KawzInvests breakdown. Loving the setup already.. pure-play power semiconductor IDM perfectly positioned for the AI factory supercycle. Emphasizing the key Kawz points that convinced me: • NVIDIA calling out the legacy 54V bottleneck → 800V shift is coming hard • $50M net cash inside a $240M market cap (insanely clean balance sheet) • 3-3-3 strategy: targeting $300M revenue at 30% gross margin in 3 years • 71 design wins last quarter (+61% YoY) + Gumi fab upgrade underway • Full MV/SJ MOSFET, IGBT & SiC portfolio on display at PCIM Europe soon High-torque opportunity. Grateful for the alpha!
Live
▲ bull
-33.6%
36d
May 28
$ADTN
I also started a position today on $ADTN It’s very early in the presence of X too… 👀 https://t.co/IqFJcu5B3f https://t.co/FCLkRXvdhh
Live
▲ bull
-29.7%
37d
May 27
$ASTS
Just went public with some of my largest position: $ASTS This is what real conviction looks like.. buying for years, adding on dips, and holding long-term for the asymmetry. Limited downside, life-changing upside if the vision delivers. From owning warrants at the very beginning, converting them, and holding along shares for the ride. I will be sharing my highest-conviction long-term plays, the reasoning behind them, and the journey as it unfolds. If you like transparent, high-conviction investing then follow along! Happy to connect and discuss ideas. P.S ASTS is at ATH again;)
Live
▲ bull
-33.6%
37d
May 27
$EOS.AX
Got another 3000 shares today $EOS.AX https://t.co/NliKW3FJG8
Live
▲ bull
+26.5%
44d
May 20
$DGXX
Wouldn’t be surprised if $DGXX ran to $10 tomorrow! https://t.co/STe8NgaMh8
Live
▲ bull
-39.8%
51d
May 13
$DELL
$INTC (left) constantly step ladder pumping after earnings + trump yapping about it. Now we have $DELL (right) with huge volume last friday after the next trump yap. I think we’re going to see a similar step ladder pattern emerge, not to mention we have earnings in approx 18 days for 5/28! Good to be long both.
Live
▲ bull
+63.3%
54d
May 10
$INTC
$INTC (left) constantly step ladder pumping after earnings + trump yapping about it. Now we have $DELL (right) with huge volume last friday after the next trump yap. I think we’re going to see a similar step ladder pattern emerge, not to mention we have earnings in approx 18 days for 5/28! Good to be long both.
Live
▲ bull
+1.7%
54d
May 10
$PENG
AMD just confirmed explosive demand in the exact verticals $PENG serves! Data center, networking, HPC. Add tight memory supply + proprietary Zefr screening = premium pricing power. Hard to ignore this setup, I have some bull spreads ready. I think it will explode this week and over weekend.
Live
▲ bull
+76.5%
58d
May 6
$EOS.AX
The entire narrative around HELW is shifting to become extremely bullish in the near term. This is why I have a large position in $EOS.AX, the tailwinds will continue to grow!! https://t.co/w7adkuiVcX
Live
▲ bull
+0.4%
58d
May 6
$CRCL
$CRCL not slowing down regardless of macro! Clarity Act insiders must be accumulating. What comes next: The Senate Banking Committee’s earliest available markup window is the week of May 11, with Memorial Day recess starting May 21. https://t.co/z0nMRseWeN
Live
▲ bull
-48.2%
60d
May 4
$BB
$BB is an invisible OS monopoly hiding in plain sight 275M cars running QNX. 10/10 top automakers. 24/25 EV makers. You've never seen the logo, that's the point! Software-defined vehicles are the next capex supercycle. Every car gets smarter. QNX is already certified and embedded at the factory. Switching cost = near zero incentive to leave. Royalty model means revenue compounds with every vehicle that ships. Backlog just hit $950M - up from $460M in 2022. The pipeline is growing faster than it converts. Automotive OS TAM: $23B today → $40B+ by 2031. QNX holds dominant share. Now layer in: J&J AI heart pump. NASA flight systems. ARM's AGI CPU named QNX foundational partner. Defense. Robotics. QNX is quietly becoming the OS of physical AI. ~$3B market cap for the company running the software stack of the physical world. The market still thinks this is a phone company. The re-rating has started. The story isn't fully priced yet.
Live
▲ bull
+136.3%
61d
May 3
$ASTS
$ASTS giving us the chance to load up on a discount tbh https://t.co/UxXO8CRuoG
Win
▲ bull
+74.2%
69d
Apr 25
$EOS.AX
Calling it now $EOS.AX will outperform $LASR from here https://t.co/5OR2qjfrr8
Win
▲ bull
+16.7%
73d
Apr 21
$EOPSF
$EOS.AX gaining traction as the story unfolds, just wait until we get some awards... glad I loaded more today on $EOPSF !! https://t.co/i6k4qJDyiT
Win
▲ bull
+25.4%
80d
Apr 14
$FLY
$FLY boutta have better returns this year than $RKLB https://t.co/kQd9XegsRa
Win
▲ bull
+51.6%
81d
Apr 13
$EOS.AX
We are going to see $EOS.AX explode this year imo https://t.co/BxEzCkJhDz
Win
▲ bull
+35.8%
81d
Apr 13
$EOS.AX
$EOS.AX $EOPSF $GP6 Estonia redirected €500M to air defence, signalling the limits of the US umbrella. Even small Baltic states now treat European autonomy as raw survival math. The Milrem Robotics + EOS Apollo 100kW laser deal creates a scalable European counter-drone stack. Lasers deliver the infinite magazine effect against drone swarms where missiles can’t. This fits the broader decoupling pattern of accelerating trend for European NATO countries (especially frontline Baltic and Nordic states) building independent defense capabilities to reduce heavy reliance on the US security umbrella. Europe rearming faster than expected, with Australian deep-tech carving into legacy supply chains. Rheinmetall and Hensoldt won’t own everything forever. Strong validation for the $EOS.AX Europe story. The budget shift writes it plainly!!
Win
▲ bull
+32.1%
83d
Apr 11
$EOS.AX
$EOS.AX $EOPSF $GP6 Estonia just redirected €500M to air defence, signalling the limits of the US umbrella. Even small Baltic states now treat European autonomy as raw survival math. The Milrem Robotics + EOS Apollo 100kW laser deal creates a scalable European counter-drone stack. Lasers deliver the infinite magazine effect against drone swarms where missiles can’t. This fits the broader decoupling pattern of accelerating trend for European NATO countries (especially frontline Baltic and Nordic states) building independent defense capabilities to reduce heavy reliance on the US security umbrella. Europe rearming faster than expected, with Australian deep-tech carving into legacy supply chains. Rheinmetall and Hensoldt won’t own everything forever. Strong validation for the $EOS.AX Europe story. The budget shift writes it plainly!!
Win
▲ bull
+32.1%
83d
Apr 11
$EOS.AX
That $54B isn’t just for drones, it’s also for the systems that kill them. $EOS / $EOS.AX ($EOPSF on OTC) was selected by the US Army and General Dynamics as the sole partner to mount an autonomous counter-UAS weapon station on the M1E3 Abrams. $22M initial contract. More slices expected in 2026. Large-quantity orders from 2027+. Management cited up to $3B TAM over 15 years for this program alone in the H2 2025 earnings call. Hard-kill counter-drone. Sole-source. On the flagship US Army tank. ~AUD 1.8B market cap with a $459M unconditional backlog and the Pentagon just proposed 24,000% more spend in the space. The $54B is the tailwind. ;)
Win
▲ bull
+30.1%
85d
Apr 9
$EOS.AX
$EOS.AX is starting to show up on radars it’s never been on before. Non-Australian money is paying attention. That’s a different game. And when they dig in, they’re going to find the best tech in class. 100kW+ high energy lasers, sole supplier relationships, counter-UAS capability that most Western defense primes are still trying to figure out. This is NOT a speculative story! The hardware is real and it’s already being ordered.
Win
▲ bull
+36.2%
92d
Apr 2
$EOS.AX
Iran tensions spiking. Middle East govts panic buying weapons. $EOS.AX just landed A$17M in R400 Remote Weapon Systems to a GCC country buying specifically because of regional escalation. That's the ASX announcement. Not speculation. Add the Korea US$80M high energy laser contract still progressing. Add A$459M in unconditional backlog. Add 63% gross margins. Add a UAE facility built for $500M annual revenue. The world is breaking. EOS is the supplier. Still a micro-cap. Genuinely don't understand why this isn't on everyone's radar.
Win
▲ bull
+53.1%
94d
Mar 31
$KRKNF
Palmer Luckey dropping bombs on Fox :). “We have US customers” for Ghost Shark autonomous subs. Confirmed demand stateside is ramping. Kraken's underwater tech powers these beasts. Keep in mind Kraken Robotics revenue grows by ~$9MM/GHOSTSHARK and the margins are not thin. $KRKNF remains the premier public proxy play. #Anduril #GhostShark #KRKNF https://t.co/mqoCJzeSqk
Win
▲ bull
+25%
172d
Jan 12
$KRKNF
Mkay folks, know what a lot of investors tend to miss? ASYMMETRIC opportunies. Companies like Kraken Robotics and AST SpaceMobile are quietly building the kind of foundational infrastructure that becomes incredibly valuable long before the market prices it in. ASTS is putting together a game-changing communications network in space, while Kraken is delivering the subsea sensing, autonomy, and power tech that powers modern naval ops and keeps us aware of what's happening underwater. What really gets me excited is Kraken's partnership with Anduril. As Anduril ramps up its autonomous undersea platforms, Kraken's sonar and subsea power solutions get pulled right into a much bigger defense ecosystem with real production scale and deployment muscle. Just the other day we saw Trump announce the desire to increase the defense budget from $1T to $1.5T… On top of that, the new manufacturing facility in Nova Scotia is a big deal. It seriously reduces execution risk, boosts capacity, and sets Kraken up perfectly to handle growing demand from NATO and allied navies. We're watching the company shift from "development story" to "serious industrial scaler" RIGHT in front of us. And yet, Kraken still trades at a huge discount compared to peers such as Ondas Holdings, which often gets sky-high multiples just for its future autonomy potential. Even though it's still burning cash with limited revenue. Kraken, is already generating real revenue with incredible margins as a defense tech supplier, with actual customers, a solid backlog, and now manufacturing scale to back it up. Once it uplists to the TSX (and eventually Nasdaq), better liquidity and more institutional eyes could spark real peer comparisons. This can set the stage for the same kind of re-rating we've seen in other defense infrastructure names when the market finally wakes up to their true strategic importance. Shout out to @transhumanica for their detailed analysis that covers both companies. https://t.co/j2uQUlQGR8 $ASTS #ASTS $KRKNF #KRKNF
Win
▲ bull
+33.1%
174d
Jan 10
$ASTS
Mkay folks, know what a lot of investors tend to miss? ASYMMETRIC opportunies. Companies like Kraken Robotics and AST SpaceMobile are quietly building the kind of foundational infrastructure that becomes incredibly valuable long before the market prices it in. ASTS is putting together a game-changing communications network in space, while Kraken is delivering the subsea sensing, autonomy, and power tech that powers modern naval ops and keeps us aware of what's happening underwater. What really gets me excited is Kraken's partnership with Anduril. As Anduril ramps up its autonomous undersea platforms, Kraken's sonar and subsea power solutions get pulled right into a much bigger defense ecosystem with real production scale and deployment muscle. Just the other day we saw Trump announce the desire to increase the defense budget from $1T to $1.5T… On top of that, the new manufacturing facility in Nova Scotia is a big deal. It seriously reduces execution risk, boosts capacity, and sets Kraken up perfectly to handle growing demand from NATO and allied navies. We're watching the company shift from "development story" to "serious industrial scaler" RIGHT in front of us. And yet, Kraken still trades at a huge discount compared to peers such as Ondas Holdings, which often gets sky-high multiples just for its future autonomy potential. Even though it's still burning cash with limited revenue. Kraken, is already generating real revenue with incredible margins as a defense tech supplier, with actual customers, a solid backlog, and now manufacturing scale to back it up. Once it uplists to the TSX (and eventually Nasdaq), better liquidity and more institutional eyes could spark real peer comparisons. This can set the stage for the same kind of re-rating we've seen in other defense infrastructure names when the market finally wakes up to their true strategic importance. Shout out to @transhumanica for their detailed analysis that covers both companies. https://t.co/j2uQUlQGR8 $ASTS #ASTS $KRKNF #KRKNF
Loss
▲ bull
-34.6%
174d
Jan 10
$KRKNF
$KRKNF For those who haven’t noticed the recent surge in volume on Kraken Robotics, here’s my take. Kraken is poised for a rerating driven by supply and demand dynamics, fueled by its expanding relationship with Anduril. With Anduril on track for a $100B IPO, not priced in!
Loss
▲ bull
-14.9%
269d
Oct 7
